Predictions › United States › New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLSun 8 Nov, 19:00 United States time

New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

New Jersey DevilsAway
3.1 : 3.2
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
52%Devils
48%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickDevils +2
-463

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2. Our best bet is Devils +2 at -463.

Prediction
New Jersey Devils to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New Jersey Devils 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Devils +2 at -463

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Devils +2
82% chanceFair price -4632 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 48% and New Jersey Devils 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5 and New Jersey Devils won 4 of their last 5. New Jersey Devils come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. New Jersey Devils won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.3. New Jersey Devils score 3.2 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and New Jersey Devils won 2. The last one ended New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Devils +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Devilsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs: New Jersey Devils shade it

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host New Jersey Devils in the NHL on Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2. Our best bet is Devils +2 at -463.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

New Jersey Devils form

New Jersey Devils have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, New Jersey Devils won 2. Last time out it finished New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.

Our call

We expect New Jersey Devils to score about 3.1 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.2. That points to New Jersey Devils to win. Our safest bet is Devils +2 at -463.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsDevils
Games played2020
Wins913
Losses117
Goals scored7164
Goals conceded6556
Scored per game3.53.2
Conceded per game3.32.8
Home record5W 5L9W 2L
Away record4W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -1.528%+260
Maple Leafs -0.543%+132
Maple Leafs +0.560%-148
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Jersey Devils 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2. Our best bet is Devils +2 at -463.

What is the projected score for New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project New Jersey Devils 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.2, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are New Jersey Devils playing?

New Jersey Devils have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and New Jersey Devils last met?

It ended New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3. In the last 3 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and New Jersey Devils won 2.

What is the best bet for New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Devils +2 at -463, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Devils. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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