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Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs
NBASat 21 Nov, 20:00 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

New Orleans PelicansAway
109.7 : 123.7
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
13%Pelicans
87%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs -5.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 87% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 109.7 and San Antonio Spurs 123.7. Our best bet is Spurs -5.5 at -313.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 110, San Antonio Spurs 124
Projected total
233.4 points
Best bet
Spurs -5.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs -5.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 87% and New Orleans Pelicans 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5. San Antonio Spurs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 6 of their last 11 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 114.7 points a game and let in 106.9. New Orleans Pelicans score 117.8 and let in 121.5. Their recent games average 221.6 and 239.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 1. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 95, New Orleans Pelicans 104.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs -5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-2%
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 87% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 109.7 and San Antonio Spurs 123.7. Our best bet is Spurs -5.5 at -313.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2293 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 3, New Orleans Pelicans won 1. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 95, New Orleans Pelicans 104.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 109.7 points and San Antonio Spurs about 123.7. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs -5.5 at -313.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursPelicans
Games played2020
Wins128
Losses812
Points scored22932355
Points conceded21382429
Scored per game114.7117.8
Conceded per game106.9121.5
Home record6W 5L5W 4L
Away record6W 3L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -19.533%+204
Spurs -16.542%+138
Spurs -13.551%-106
Spurs -10.561%-156
Spurs -7.570%-230
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.556%44%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Wemby Scores 40 Points in 25 Minutes as Spurs Win Ninth Straight

Victor Wembanyama posted 40 points, 11 rebounds, and nine blocks in 25 minutes as the San Antonio Spurs beat the Phoenix Suns 122-96.

10 Nov 2026
NBA

Wembanyama Drops 52 Points to Lead Spurs Past Mavericks

Victor Wembanyama logged 52 points, 24 rebounds, and eight blocks as San Antonio beat Dallas 112-111 for their sixth straight win.

5 Nov 2026
NBA

Wembanyama Drops 43 Points as Spurs Beat Timberwolves

Victor Wembanyama scored 43 points on 34 shot attempts to lead the San Antonio Spurs past the Minnesota Timberwolves 121-111.

1 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 87% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 109.7 and San Antonio Spurs 123.7. Our best bet is Spurs -5.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 109.7 and San Antonio Spurs 123.7, about 233.4 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2293 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 95, New Orleans Pelicans 104. In the last 4 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 1.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs -5.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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