Predictions › United States › New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

NFLSun 18 Oct, 13:00 United States time

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants prediction

MetLife Stadium

New Orleans SaintsAway

22.6 : 22.1

projected points

New York GiantsHome

55%Saints

45%Giants

Eagle safe pickGiants +8.5

-286

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants is New Orleans Saints to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Saints 22.6 and New York Giants 22.1. Our best bet is Giants +8.5 at -286.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints to win
Chance: 55%
Projected score: New Orleans Saints 23, New York Giants 22
Projected total: 44.7 points
Best bet: Giants +8.5 at -286

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Giants +8.5

74% chanceFair price -2861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives New York Giants 45% and New Orleans Saints 55%. The bookmakers agree and make New Orleans Saints the favourite at -118.
2
Recent form
New York Giants won 4 of their last 5 and New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
New York Giants won 5 of their last 10 games at home. New Orleans Saints won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Scoring
New York Giants score 22.4 points a game and let in 21.9. New Orleans Saints score 19.6 and let in 23.6. Their recent games average 44.4 and 43.2 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, New York Giants won 0 and New Orleans Saints won 1. The last one ended New Orleans Saints 26, New York Giants 14.
6
The safest bet
Giants +8.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Saintsrest between games-2%

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants: New Orleans Saints shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Giants host New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants is New Orleans Saints to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Saints 22.6 and New York Giants 22.1. Our best bet is Giants +8.5 at -286.

New York Giants form

New York Giants have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 449 points scored and 439 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

New Orleans Saints form

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 392 points scored and 472 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New York Giants won 0, New Orleans Saints won 1. Last time out it finished New Orleans Saints 26, New York Giants 14.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Saints to score about 22.6 points and New York Giants about 22.1. That points to New Orleans Saints to win. Our safest bet is Giants +8.5 at -286.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Giants	Saints
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	8
Losses	12	12
Points scored	449	392
Points conceded	439	472
Scored per game	22.4	19.6
Conceded per game	21.9	23.6
Home record	5W 5L	3W 6L
Away record	3W 7L	5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Giants to win	45%	+121	-102	-10.6%
Saints to win	48%	+108	-118	-11.1%
Giants +1.5	50%	+101	-115	-7.1%
Saints -1.5	44%	+129	-105	-14.9%
Over 45.5 points	44%	+126	-110	-15.3%
Under 45.5 points	49%	+104	-110	-6.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Giants spread	Covers	Fair
Giants -6.5	30%	+228
Giants -2.5	41%	+141
Giants +0.5	50%	-101
Giants +3.5	59%	-144
Giants +7.5	70%	-234

Total points	Over	Under
37.5	71%	29%
41.5	60%	40%
44.5	51%	49%
47.5	41%	59%
51.5	30%	70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Giants +3.5 wins if Giants win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Saints Face Harsh Reality After Blowout Loss to Falcons

The New Orleans Saints dropped to 1-3 after a blowout home loss to the Atlanta Falcons, leaving fans frustrated and booing.

6 Oct 2026

NFL

Atlanta Falcons Offense Explodes After Michael Penix Jr Returns

After scoring just 16 points in their first two games, the Atlanta Falcons have scored 80 points over their last two wins.

6 Oct 2026

NFL

Falcons Dominate Saints as Robinson Duo Runs Wild in Primetime

Bijan Robinson and Brian Robinson Jr. combined for five touchdowns to lead the Atlanta Falcons to a 45-24 victory over the New Orleans Saints.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants?

What is the projected score for New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants?

We project New Orleans Saints 22.6 and New York Giants 22.1, about 44.7 points in total.

How are New York Giants playing?

How are New Orleans Saints playing?

What happened when New York Giants and New Orleans Saints last met?

It ended New Orleans Saints 26, New York Giants 14. In the last 1 meeting New York Giants won 0 and New Orleans Saints won 1.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants?

Giants +8.5 at -286, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Giants against Saints. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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