New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 33.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Philadelphia Eagles 44% and New York Giants 56%. The bookmakers agree and make New York Giants the favourite at -122.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Philadelphia Eagles won 0 of their last 5 and New York Giants won 3 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Philadelphia Eagles won 3 of their last 10 games at home. New York Giants won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Philadelphia Eagles score 17.9 points a game and let in 20.8. New York Giants score 22.5 and let in 22.3. Their recent games average 38.7 and 44.8 points in total, and the market line is 40.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Philadelphia Eagles won 1 and New York Giants won 1. The last one ended Philadelphia Eagles 38, New York Giants 20.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 33.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Eagles +3.5 wins if Eagles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.