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Predictions › United States › New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs
NFLSun 8 Nov, 13:00 United States time

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

Arrowhead Stadium

New York JetsAway
16.5 : 25.5
projected points
Kansas City ChiefsHome
21%Jets
79%Chiefs
Eagle safe pickChiefs to win
-521

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 79% chance. We project New York Jets 16.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.5. Our best bet is Chiefs to win at -521.

Prediction
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
New York Jets 16, Kansas City Chiefs 25
Projected total
42.0 points
Best bet
Chiefs to win at -521

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Chiefs to win
79% chancePrice -5211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas City Chiefs 79% and New York Jets 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas City Chiefs the favourite at -521.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas City Chiefs won 4 of their last 5 and New York Jets won 1 of their last 5. Kansas City Chiefs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas City Chiefs won 6 of their last 11 games at home. New York Jets won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas City Chiefs score 19.3 points a game and let in 17.6. New York Jets score 17.4 and let in 25.9. Their recent games average 36.9 and 43.2 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Chiefs to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City Chiefs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kansas City Chiefs host New York Jets in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Arrowhead Stadium. Our prediction for New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 79% chance. We project New York Jets 16.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.5. Our best bet is Chiefs to win at -521.

Kansas City Chiefs form

Kansas City Chiefs have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 386 points scored and 352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

New York Jets form

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 347 points scored and 517 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect New York Jets to score about 16.5 points and Kansas City Chiefs about 25.5. That points to Kansas City Chiefs to win. Our safest bet is Chiefs to win at -521.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ChiefsJets
Games played2020
Wins86
Losses1114
Points scored386347
Points conceded352517
Scored per game19.317.4
Conceded per game17.625.9
Home record6W 4L3W 6L
Away record2W 7L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Chiefs to win79%-378-521-5.7%
Jets to win21%+376+390+2.9%
Chiefs -9.546%+118-110-12.4%
Jets +9.548%+109-110-8.5%
Over 43.5 points44%+129-110-16.8%
Under 43.5 points50%-101-110-4.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Chiefs spreadCoversFair
Chiefs -16.529%+246
Chiefs -12.540%+151
Chiefs -9.549%+106
Chiefs -6.557%-135
Chiefs -2.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
34.572%28%
38.561%39%
41.551%49%
44.542%58%
48.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Chiefs +3.5 wins if Chiefs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Kirk Cousins Retains Starting QB Role for Raiders Against Jets

Klint Kubiak confirmed Kirk Cousins will remain the starting quarterback for the Raiders against the Jets.

26 Oct 2026
NFL

Jets Head Coach Aaron Glenn Downplays Garrett Wilson Sideline Frustration

Aaron Glenn called Garrett Wilson's sideline outburst overblown following the Jets' 28-25 loss to Miami.

26 Oct 2026
NFL

Kenneth Walker III Struggles as Seahawks Stifle Chiefs in Seattle Return

Kenneth Walker III was held to 36 rushing yards in his return to Seattle as the Kansas City Chiefs fell 20-3 to the Seahawks on Sunday night.

26 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our prediction for New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 79% chance. We project New York Jets 16.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.5. Our best bet is Chiefs to win at -521.

What is the projected score for New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs?

We project New York Jets 16.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.5, about 42.0 points in total.

How are Kansas City Chiefs playing?

Kansas City Chiefs have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 386 points scored and 352 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are New York Jets playing?

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 347 points scored and 517 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Chiefs to win at -521, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chiefs against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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