Quick answer
Our prediction for New York Jets vs New England Patriots is New England Patriots to win, with a 74% chance. We project New York Jets 17.6 and New England Patriots 24.9. Our best bet is Patriots to win at -340.
- Prediction
- New England Patriots to win
- Chance
- 74%
- Projected score
- New York Jets 18, New England Patriots 25
- Projected total
- 42.5 points
- Best bet
- Patriots to win at -340
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Patriots to win
74% chancePrice -3401 unit
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Jets to win
26% chancePrice +2701 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives New England Patriots 74% and New York Jets 26%. The bookmakers agree and make New England Patriots the favourite at -340.
- 2
Recent formNew England Patriots won 2 of their last 5 and New York Jets won 1 of their last 5. New England Patriots come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayNew England Patriots won 8 of their last 11 games at home. New York Jets won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringNew England Patriots score 22.9 points a game and let in 18.9. New York Jets score 16.3 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 41.8 and 42.0 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, New England Patriots won 2 and New York Jets won 0. The last one ended New York Jets 10, New England Patriots 42.
- 6
The safest betPatriots to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewNew York Jets vs New England Patriots: New England Patriots are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
New England Patriots host New York Jets in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Gillette Stadium. Our prediction for New York Jets vs New England Patriots is New England Patriots to win, with a 74% chance. We project New York Jets 17.6 and New England Patriots 24.9. Our best bet is Patriots to win at -340.
New England Patriots form
New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 459 points scored and 377 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
New York Jets form
New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 325 points scored and 514 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. New England Patriots won 2, New York Jets won 0. Last time out it finished New York Jets 10, New England Patriots 42.
Our call
We expect New York Jets to score about 17.6 points and New England Patriots about 24.9. That points to New England Patriots to win. Our safest bet is Patriots to win at -340. Our bold bet is Jets to win at +270.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Patriots +3.5 wins if Patriots win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
Our prediction for New York Jets vs New England Patriots is New England Patriots to win, with a 74% chance. We project New York Jets 17.6 and New England Patriots 24.9. Our best bet is Patriots to win at -340.
What is the projected score for New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
We project New York Jets 17.6 and New England Patriots 24.9, about 42.5 points in total.
How are New England Patriots playing?
New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 459 points scored and 377 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
How are New York Jets playing?
New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 325 points scored and 514 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
What happened when New England Patriots and New York Jets last met?
It ended New York Jets 10, New England Patriots 42. In the last 2 meetings New England Patriots won 2 and New York Jets won 0.
What is the best bet for New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
Patriots to win at -340, with a 74% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Patriots against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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