Predictions › United States › New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics
NBAFri 23 Oct, 19:00 United States time

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics prediction

TD Garden

New York KnicksAway
109.4 : 112.2
projected points
Boston CelticsHome
48%Knicks
52%Celtics
Eagle safe pickCeltics +5.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Knicks 109.4 and Boston Celtics 112.2. Our best bet is Celtics +5.5 at -299.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New York Knicks 109, Boston Celtics 112
Projected total
221.6 points
Best bet
Celtics +5.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics +5.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Celtics 52% and New York Knicks 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Boston Celtics the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Celtics won 2 of their last 5 and New York Knicks won 1 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Celtics won 8 of their last 11 games at home. New York Knicks won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Celtics score 116.5 points a game and let in 106.9. New York Knicks score 114.1 and let in 105.0. Their recent games average 223.3 and 219.2 points in total, and the market line is 223.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Boston Celtics won 1 and New York Knicks won 3. The last one ended New York Knicks 112, Boston Celtics 106.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Knicksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics shade it

The big picture

Boston Celtics host New York Knicks in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Knicks 109.4 and Boston Celtics 112.2. Our best bet is Celtics +5.5 at -299.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

New York Knicks form

New York Knicks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2282 points scored and 2101 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Boston Celtics won 1, New York Knicks won 3. Last time out it finished New York Knicks 112, Boston Celtics 106.

Our call

We expect New York Knicks to score about 109.4 points and Boston Celtics about 112.2. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics +5.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticsKnicks
Games played2020
Wins1415
Losses65
Points scored23292282
Points conceded21382101
Scored per game116.5114.1
Conceded per game106.9105.0
Home record8W 3L6W 3L
Away record6W 3L9W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Celtics to win52%-110-130-7.3%
Knicks to win44%+127+110-7.5%
Celtics -2.549%+105-110-6.9%
Knicks +2.548%+110-110-9.0%
Over 223.5 points45%+122-110-13.9%
Under 223.5 points51%-106-110-1.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Celtics spreadCoversFair
Celtics -8.532%+210
Celtics -5.541%+142
Celtics -2.551%-103
Celtics +0.560%-151
Celtics +3.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
215.563%37%
218.557%43%
221.550%50%
224.544%56%
227.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Celtics +3.5 wins if Celtics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics?

Our prediction for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Knicks 109.4 and Boston Celtics 112.2. Our best bet is Celtics +5.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics?

We project New York Knicks 109.4 and Boston Celtics 112.2, about 221.6 points in total.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are New York Knicks playing?

New York Knicks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2282 points scored and 2101 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Celtics and New York Knicks last met?

It ended New York Knicks 112, Boston Celtics 106. In the last 4 meetings Boston Celtics won 1 and New York Knicks won 3.

What is the best bet for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics?

Celtics +5.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtics against Knicks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.