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Predictions › United States › New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx
WNBAThu 1 Oct, 00:00 United States time

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx prediction

Target Center

New York LibertyAway
89.1 : 90.5
projected points
Minnesota LynxHome
48%Liberty
52%Lynx
Eagle safe pickLiberty +8.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Liberty 89.1 and Minnesota Lynx 90.5. Our best bet is Liberty +8.5 at -298.

Prediction
Minnesota Lynx to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New York Liberty 89, Minnesota Lynx 90
Projected total
179.6 points
Best bet
Liberty +8.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Liberty +8.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liberty to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Lynx 52% and New York Liberty 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Lynx won 2 of their last 5 and New York Liberty won 3 of their last 5. New York Liberty come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Lynx won 6 of their last 10 games at home. New York Liberty won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Lynx score 90.1 points a game and let in 86.2. New York Liberty score 91.8 and let in 87.1. Their recent games average 176.3 and 178.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Minnesota Lynx won 1 and New York Liberty won 3. The last one ended Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Liberty +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lynxrest between games-5%
  • Libertyrest between games-5%
  • Lynxteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx: Minnesota Lynx shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Lynx host New York Liberty in the WNBA on Thu 1 Oct, 00:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Liberty 89.1 and Minnesota Lynx 90.5. Our best bet is Liberty +8.5 at -298.

Minnesota Lynx form

Minnesota Lynx have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1802 points scored and 1724 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

New York Liberty form

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1836 points scored and 1742 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Minnesota Lynx won 1, New York Liberty won 3. Last time out it finished Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91.

Our call

We expect New York Liberty to score about 89.1 points and Minnesota Lynx about 90.5. That points to Minnesota Lynx to win. Our safest bet is Liberty +8.5 at -298. Our bold bet is Liberty to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LynxLiberty
Games played2020
Wins1414
Losses66
Points scored18021836
Points conceded17241742
Scored per game90.191.8
Conceded per game86.287.1
Home record6W 4L7W 3L
Away record8W 2L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lynx spreadCoversFair
Lynx -7.529%+246
Lynx -4.539%+158
Lynx -1.550%+102
Lynx +1.560%-152
Lynx +4.570%-237
Total pointsOverUnder
173.566%34%
176.558%42%
179.550%50%
182.542%58%
185.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lynx +3.5 wins if Lynx win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Powers Liberty to Huge Game 1 Upset Over Lynx

Breanna Stewart scored 34 points to lead the New York Liberty to a dominant 91-75 road victory over the top seeded Minnesota Lynx in Game 1.

15 hours ago
WNBA

Chloe Bibby Ready for Playoffs After Wild Year

After a rollercoaster season of trades and injuries, Australian forward Chloe Bibby is ready for the WNBA playoffs with the Minnesota Lynx.

24 Sept 2026
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Rare Technical Foul Ends Nine Year Streak in Liberty Loss

Breanna Stewart picked up a rare technical foul as the New York Liberty fell 95-84 to Atlanta, ending her nine year streak without one.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx?

Our prediction for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Liberty 89.1 and Minnesota Lynx 90.5. Our best bet is Liberty +8.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx?

We project New York Liberty 89.1 and Minnesota Lynx 90.5, about 179.6 points in total.

How are Minnesota Lynx playing?

Minnesota Lynx have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1802 points scored and 1724 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are New York Liberty playing?

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1836 points scored and 1742 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty last met?

It ended Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91. In the last 4 meetings Minnesota Lynx won 1 and New York Liberty won 3.

What is the best bet for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx?

Liberty +8.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lynx against Liberty. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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