Predictions › United States › New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals
NHLFri 9 Oct, 19:00 United States time

New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

New York RangersAway
2.8 : 3.3
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
43%Rangers
57%Capitals
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-422

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -422.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
New York Rangers 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -422

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
81% chanceFair price -4222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rangers to win
37% chanceFair price +1691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 57% and New York Rangers 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5 and New York Rangers won 3 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 7 of their last 9 games at home. New York Rangers won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.6. New York Rangers score 3.2 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Washington Capitals won 2 and New York Rangers won 2. The last one ended New York Rangers 8, Washington Capitals 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals shade it

The big picture

Washington Capitals host New York Rangers in the NHL on Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -422.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 2, New York Rangers won 2. Last time out it finished New York Rangers 8, Washington Capitals 1.

Our call

We expect New York Rangers to score about 2.8 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.3. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -422. Our bold bet is Rangers to win at +169.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsRangers
Games played2020
Wins148
Losses612
Goals scored7064
Goals conceded5356
Scored per game3.53.2
Conceded per game2.62.8
Home record7W 2L6W 7L
Away record7W 4L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.534%+194
Capitals -0.550%-101
Capitals +0.566%-197
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -422.

What is the projected score for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals?

We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Washington Capitals 3.3, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and New York Rangers last met?

It ended New York Rangers 8, Washington Capitals 1. In the last 4 meetings Washington Capitals won 2 and New York Rangers won 2.

What is the best bet for New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals?

Under 8 goals at -422, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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