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Predictions › France › Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain
Ligue 1Sat 21 Nov, 16:15 France time

Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Allianz Riviera

NiceHome
1.15 : 2.35
expected goals
Paris Saint-GermainAway
17%Nice
20%Draw
64%PSG
Eagle safe pickParis Saint-Germain or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Nice 1.1, Paris Saint-Germain 2.4
Best bet
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Paris Saint-Germain or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nice 17%, the draw 20% and Paris Saint-Germain 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.44.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nice took 12 points from their last 5 games and Paris Saint-Germain took 15 from 5. Paris Saint-Germain come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nice won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Paris Saint-Germain won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nice score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Paris Saint-Germain score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Nice games and 13 of Paris Saint-Germain games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Nice won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Nice 0, Paris Saint-Germain 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Paris Saint-Germain or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nicerecent form+3%
  • PSGrecent form+6%
Nice form D W W L WPSG form D W W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nice host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on Sat 21 Nov, 16:15 at Allianz Riviera. Our prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21.

Nice form

Nice have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nice won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Nice 0, Paris Saint-Germain 4.

Our call

We expect Nice to score about 1.1 goals and Paris Saint-Germain about 2.4. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Paris Saint-Germain to win and both score at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NicePSG
Games played2020
Wins613
Draws75
Losses72
Goals scored2250
Goals conceded2821
Scored per game1.12.5
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record3W 5D 2L6W 2D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L7W 3D 1L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nice to win16%6.295.75-8.5%
A Draw19%5.314.90-7.7%
Paris Saint-Germain to win60%1.661.44-13.1%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.251.95-13.2%
Under 3.5 goals49%2.061.77-14.0%
Nice +1.551%1.951.63-16.6%
Paris Saint-Germain -1.542%2.402.05-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.47
Over 3.5 goals46%2.15
Both teams to score62%1.60
Nice or Draw36%2.74
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw83%1.20
Nice to win and Over 2.512%8.44
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.549%2.05
Nice clean sheet10%10.51
Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet32%3.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.6%
1-18.6%
0-28.3%
1-37.5%
0-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Ligue 1

Luis Enrique Calls Out Ballon d'Or Rankings as PSG Prepare for Le Havre

Luis Enrique thinks Vitinha deserved a higher finish in the Ballon d'Or as PSG deal with injuries ahead of Le Havre.

29 Oct 2026
Ligue 1

Luis Enrique Backs Khvicha Kvaratskhelia After Season Ending Knee Injury

PSG winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will miss the rest of the season with an ACL injury as Paris Saint-Germain prepare for Lyon.

25 Oct 2026
Champions League

Barcelona Captain Raphinha Shrugs Off PSG Defeat Before El Clasico

Barcelona captain Raphinha says their 4-2 defeat against PSG will not affect their preparations for the upcoming clash with Real Madrid.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Our prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Nice to score 1.1 goals and Paris Saint-Germain 2.4.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Nice last 20 games and 14 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20.

How are Nice playing?

Nice have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Nice and Paris Saint-Germain last met?

It ended Nice 0, Paris Saint-Germain 4. In the last 2 meetings Nice won 0 and Paris Saint-Germain won 2.

What is the best bet for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nice against PSG. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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