Predictions › United Kingdom › Norwich City vs Cardiff City

ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Norwich City vs Cardiff City prediction

Carrow Road

Norwich CityHome

2.11 : 1.31

expected goals

Cardiff CityAway

55%Norwich City

22%Draw

23%Cardiff

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Cardiff City is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction: Norwich City to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Norwich City 2.1, Cardiff City 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1/62 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Norwich City to win and Over 2.5

40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Norwich City 55%, the draw 22% and Cardiff City 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Norwich City the favourite at 8/11.
2
Recent form
Norwich City took 12 points from their last 5 games and Cardiff City took 8 from 5. Norwich City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Norwich City won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Cardiff City won 0 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
Norwich City score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Cardiff City score 2.0 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Norwich City games and 14 of Cardiff City games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Norwich City won 1 and Cardiff City won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cardiff City 1, Norwich City 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Norwich Cityrecent form+4%
Cardiffrecent form+1%

Norwich City form W W W W LCardiff form W D L W DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Norwich City vs Cardiff City: Norwich City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Norwich City host Cardiff City in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 at Carrow Road. Our prediction for Norwich City vs Cardiff City is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Cardiff City form

Cardiff City have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Norwich City won 1, Cardiff City won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cardiff City 1, Norwich City 2.

Our call

We expect Norwich City to score about 2.1 goals and Cardiff City about 1.3. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Norwich City to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Norwich City	Cardiff
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	7
Draws	1	6
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	40	41
Goals conceded	34	37
Scored per game	2.0	2.0
Conceded per game	1.7	1.9
Home record	4W 1D 4L	7W 4D 1L
Away record	5W 0D 6L	0W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Norwich City to win	50%	Evens	8/11	-13.7%
A Draw	21%	7/2	10/3	-6.6%
Cardiff City to win	22%	7/2	3/1	-13.3%
Over 3.5 goals	46%	6/5	4/5	-17.0%
Under 3.5 goals	47%	11/10	10/11	-10.3%
Norwich City -0.5	50%	Evens	4/6	-17.4%
Cardiff City +0.5	43%	11/8	Evens	-14.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1/6
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1/2
Over 3.5 goals	45%	5/4
Both teams to score	65%	8/15
Norwich City or Draw	77%	3/10
Cardiff City or Draw	45%	5/4
Norwich City to win and Over 2.5	42%	7/5
Cardiff City to win and Over 2.5	16%	5/1
Norwich City clean sheet	27%	11/4
Cardiff City clean sheet	12%	7/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%

2-19.5%

2-07.3%

3-16.7%

1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Championship

West Ham Fight Back From Three Down To Draw At Cardiff

West Ham rescued a 3-3 draw at Cardiff after falling three goals behind in Scott Parker's first match in charge.

4 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Cardiff City is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Norwich City to score 2.1 goals and Cardiff City 1.3.

Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Norwich City last 20 games and 15 of Cardiff City last 20.

How are Norwich City playing?

How are Cardiff City playing?

What happened when Norwich City and Cardiff City last met?

It ended Cardiff City 1, Norwich City 2. In the last 1 meeting Norwich City won 1 and Cardiff City won 0.

What is the best bet for Norwich City vs Cardiff City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Norwich City against Cardiff. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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