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Predictions › United Kingdom › Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Premier LeagueSat 7 Nov, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

The City Ground

Nottingham ForestHome
0.93 : 1.78
expected goals
Manchester CityAway
19%Nottm Forest
24%Draw
57%Man City
Eagle safe pickManchester City or Draw
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Manchester City or Draw at 2/9.

Prediction
Manchester City to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Nottingham Forest 0.9, Manchester City 1.8
Best bet
Manchester City or Draw at 2/9
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Manchester City or Draw
81% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nottingham Forest 19%, the draw 24% and Manchester City 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester City the favourite at 4/6.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nottingham Forest took 4 points from their last 5 games and Manchester City took 9 from 5. Manchester City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nottingham Forest won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Manchester City won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Nottingham Forest score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Manchester City score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Nottingham Forest games and 14 of Manchester City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0 and Manchester City won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Manchester City 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Manchester City or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nottm Forestrecent form-3%
  • Man Cityrecent form+3%
  • Man Cityteam news-1%
Nottm Forest form D L L L WMan City form D W W L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Manchester City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nottingham Forest host Manchester City in the Premier League on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at The City Ground. Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Manchester City or Draw at 2/9.

Nottingham Forest form

Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Manchester City form

Manchester City have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nottingham Forest won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Manchester City 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

Our call

We expect Nottingham Forest to score about 0.9 goals and Manchester City about 1.8. That points to Manchester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Manchester City or Draw at 2/9. Our bold bet is Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Nottm ForestMan City
Games played2020
Wins615
Draws72
Losses73
Goals scored2649
Goals conceded2521
Scored per game1.32.5
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record3W 4D 4L9W 0D 2L
Away record3W 3D 3L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nottingham Forest to win19%9/24/1-9.7%
A Draw24%10/33/1-4.5%
Manchester City to win52%10/114/6-14.9%
Over 2.5 goals51%10/114/7-18.3%
Under 2.5 goals43%11/85/4-4.0%
Nottingham Forest +0.542%11/811/10-9.9%
Manchester City -0.552%10/114/7-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%3/10
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens
Over 3.5 goals29%5/2
Both teams to score51%Evens
Nottingham Forest or Draw43%5/4
Manchester City or Draw81%2/9
Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.510%17/2
Manchester City to win and Over 2.535%15/8
Nottingham Forest clean sheet17%5/1
Manchester City clean sheet39%6/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
0-111.1%
0-210.5%
1-29.8%
0-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Maresca Demands Attack Sharpness After Man City Defeat

Enzo Maresca wants Manchester City to finish their chances after losing to Aston Villa despite controlling much of the match.

25 Oct 2026
Premier League

Manchester City Face Aston Villa Test as European Weekend Begins

Premier League leaders Manchester City visit Villa Park while action heats up across Europe on Saturday.

24 Oct 2026
Premier League

Enzo Maresca Working to Bring Phil Foden Back to His Peak

Enzo Maresca feels a duty to help Phil Foden return to his best form for Manchester City while refining Rayan Cherki.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Manchester City or Draw at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Nottingham Forest to score 0.9 goals and Manchester City 1.8.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Nottingham Forest last 20 games and 11 of Manchester City last 20.

How are Nottingham Forest playing?

Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Manchester City playing?

Manchester City have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Nottingham Forest and Manchester City last met?

It ended Manchester City 2, Nottingham Forest 2. In the last 2 meetings Nottingham Forest won 0 and Manchester City won 1.

What is the best bet for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Manchester City or Draw at 2/9, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nottm Forest against Man City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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