EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
119.9 : 110.4
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
79%Thunder
21%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickThunder to win
-370

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 79% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 119.9 and Memphis Grizzlies 110.4. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -370.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 120, Memphis Grizzlies 110
Projected total
230.3 points
Best bet
Thunder to win at -370

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder to win
79% chanceFair price -3702 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 21% and Oklahoma City Thunder 79%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 5 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 112.9 points a game and let in 123.0. Oklahoma City Thunder score 111.8 and let in 109.6. Their recent games average 235.9 and 221.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 117.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 79% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 119.9 and Memphis Grizzlies 110.4. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -370.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2460 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2192 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 0, Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 117.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 119.9 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 110.4. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder to win at -370.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesThunder
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Points scored22582236
Points conceded24602192
Scored per game112.9111.8
Conceded per game123.0109.6
Home record3W 7L8W 4L
Away record5W 5L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies +3.531%+218
Grizzlies +6.540%+148
Grizzlies +9.550%+101
Grizzlies +12.559%-146
Grizzlies +15.568%-216
Total pointsOverUnder
224.563%37%
227.556%44%
230.550%50%
233.543%57%
236.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Grizzlies Stun Warriors With Late 17-0 Run in San Francisco

The Golden State Warriors collapsed in the final four minutes, allowing a 17-0 run as the Memphis Grizzlies snatched a 111-108 road victory.

24 Oct 2026
NBA

Grizzlies Waive Walter Clayton Jr. and Micah Peavy Before Cut Deadline

Memphis waived Walter Clayton Jr. and Micah Peavy to trim its roster before Monday's deadline while guaranteeing Jaylen Wells' contract.

19 Oct 2026
NBA

Thunder, Celtics, and Warriors Lock In Key Players With Extensions

NBA teams are securing talent with long term deals, including extensions for Cason Wallace, Payton Pritchard, and Brandin Podziemski.

19 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 79% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 119.9 and Memphis Grizzlies 110.4. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -370.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 119.9 and Memphis Grizzlies 110.4, about 230.3 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2460 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2236 points scored and 2192 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 117. In the last 3 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Thunder to win at -370, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.