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Predictions › United States › Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction

Davis Wade Stadium

Oklahoma SoonersAway
25.7 : 29.7
projected points
Mississippi State BulldogsHome
44%Oklahoma
56%Mississippi St
Eagle safe pickMississippi St +6.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma Sooners 25.7 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 29.7. Our best bet is Mississippi St +6.5 at -294.

Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Oklahoma Sooners 26, Mississippi State Bulldogs 30
Projected total
55.4 points
Best bet
Mississippi St +6.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mississippi St +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oklahoma to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mississippi State Bulldogs 56% and Oklahoma Sooners 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5 and Oklahoma Sooners won 3 of their last 5. Mississippi State Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Oklahoma Sooners won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Mississippi State Bulldogs score 33.3 points a game and let in 31.0. Oklahoma Sooners score 24.8 and let in 17.1. Their recent games average 64.3 and 41.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Mississippi St +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mississippi Stteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mississippi State Bulldogs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mississippi State Bulldogs host Oklahoma Sooners in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Davis Wade Stadium. Our prediction for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma Sooners 25.7 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 29.7. Our best bet is Mississippi St +6.5 at -294.

Mississippi State Bulldogs form

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 532 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Oklahoma Sooners form

Oklahoma Sooners have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 397 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma Sooners to score about 25.7 points and Mississippi State Bulldogs about 29.7. That points to Mississippi State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Mississippi St +6.5 at -294. Our bold bet is Oklahoma to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Mississippi StOklahoma
Games played1616
Wins711
Losses95
Points scored532397
Points conceded496273
Scored per game33.324.8
Conceded per game31.017.1
Home record4W 6L7W 2L
Away record3W 3L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mississippi St spreadCoversFair
Mississippi St -10.534%+193
Mississippi St -6.544%+129
Mississippi St -3.551%-105
Mississippi St -0.559%-141
Mississippi St +3.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mississippi St +3.5 wins if Mississippi St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Kamario Taylor Foot Injury Clouds Mississippi State Clash With LSU

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor is questionable for Saturday's game at LSU due to an ongoing foot injury.

13 Oct 2026
College Football

Huge Blow for Mississippi State as Fluff Bothwell Exits Alabama Game

Mississippi State running back Fluff Bothwell left Saturday's game against Alabama after just one carry due to a lower-body injury.

3 Oct 2026
College Football

Sooners Considered Benching John Mateer After Costly Turnovers Against Georgia

Oklahoma head coach Brent Venables admitted the team discussed benching quarterback John Mateer at halftime during their 41-13 loss to Georgia.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma Sooners 25.7 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 29.7. Our best bet is Mississippi St +6.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

We project Oklahoma Sooners 25.7 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 29.7, about 55.4 points in total.

How are Mississippi State Bulldogs playing?

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 532 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Oklahoma Sooners playing?

Oklahoma Sooners have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 397 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Mississippi St +6.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mississippi St against Oklahoma. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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