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College FootballSat 21 Nov, 22:15 United States time

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction

Mountain America Stadium

Oklahoma State CowboysAway
28.8 : 30.8
projected points
Arizona State Sun DevilsHome
50%Oklahoma St
50%Arizona St
Eagle safe pickOklahoma St +12.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma State Cowboys 28.8 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.8. Our best bet is Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303.

Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Oklahoma State Cowboys 29, Arizona State Sun Devils 31
Projected total
59.7 points
Best bet
Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oklahoma St +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oklahoma St to win
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona State Sun Devils 50% and Oklahoma State Cowboys 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 3 of their last 5 and Oklahoma State Cowboys won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Oklahoma State Cowboys won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona State Sun Devils score 26.6 points a game and let in 26.1. Oklahoma State Cowboys score 28.2 and let in 29.9. Their recent games average 52.7 and 58.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Oklahoma St +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils: Arizona State Sun Devils shade it

The big picture

Arizona State Sun Devils host Oklahoma State Cowboys in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 22:15 at Mountain America Stadium. Our prediction for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma State Cowboys 28.8 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.8. Our best bet is Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 533 points scored and 521 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Oklahoma State Cowboys form

Oklahoma State Cowboys have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 535 points scored and 569 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma State Cowboys to score about 28.8 points and Arizona State Sun Devils about 30.8. That points to Arizona State Sun Devils to win. Our safest bet is Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Oklahoma St to win at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Arizona StOklahoma St
Games played2019
Wins126
Losses813
Points scored533535
Points conceded521569
Scored per game26.628.2
Conceded per game26.129.9
Home record8W 3L4W 6L
Away record4W 5L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona St spreadCoversFair
Arizona St -9.532%+213
Arizona St -5.541%+142
Arizona St -2.549%+105
Arizona St +0.556%-128
Arizona St +4.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
52.567%33%
56.558%42%
59.550%50%
62.543%57%
66.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona St +3.5 wins if Arizona St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Our prediction for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma State Cowboys 28.8 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.8. Our best bet is Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

We project Oklahoma State Cowboys 28.8 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.8, about 59.7 points in total.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 533 points scored and 521 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Oklahoma State Cowboys playing?

Oklahoma State Cowboys have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 535 points scored and 569 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Oklahoma St +12.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona St against Oklahoma St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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