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Predictions › Europa League › Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction

GSP Stadium

Omonia NicosiaHome
0.79 : 1.51
expected goals
BenficaAway
19%Omonia
27%Draw
54%Benfica
Eagle safe pickBenfica or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Benfica to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Omonia Nicosia 0.8, Benfica 1.5
Best bet
Benfica or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Benfica or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Benfica to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Omonia Nicosia 19%, the draw 27% and Benfica 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Omonia Nicosia took 6 points from their last 5 games and Benfica took 12 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Omonia Nicosia won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Benfica won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Omonia Nicosia score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.9. Benfica score 2.5 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Omonia Nicosia games and 16 of Benfica games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Benfica or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Omoniarecent form+3%
  • Benficarecent form+3%
  • Omoniarest between games-3%
  • Benficarest between games-5%
Omonia form W W L W DBenfica form D L W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: Benfica are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Omonia Nicosia host Benfica in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at GSP Stadium. Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.27.

Omonia Nicosia form

Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Benfica form

Benfica have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Omonia Nicosia to score about 0.8 goals and Benfica about 1.5. That points to Benfica to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Benfica to win and Over 2.5 at 3.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OmoniaBenfica
Games played920
Wins314
Draws25
Losses41
Goals scored751
Goals conceded819
Scored per game0.82.5
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record2W 0D 3L6W 3D 0L
Away record1W 2D 1L8W 2D 1L
Clean sheets33%35%
Both teams scored33%65%
Over 2.5 goals11%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.47
Over 3.5 goals20%4.97
Both teams to score43%2.31
Omonia Nicosia or Draw46%2.16
Benfica or Draw81%1.23
Omonia Nicosia to win and Over 2.59%11.67
Benfica to win and Over 2.528%3.60
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet22%4.53
Benfica clean sheet45%2.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.4%
1-112.7%
0-211.4%
0-010.7%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Chelsea and Man United Track Benfica Star Tomás Araújo

Chelsea and Manchester United are tracking Benfica's Tomás Araújo, while free agent Jadon Sancho is prepared to wait until January to find a new club.

2 Oct 2026
Europa League

Ruben Amorim Promises Tactical Changes After AC Milan Defeat

AC Milan boss Ruben Amorim says he is ready to adapt his tactics after a 2-0 home loss to Benfica extended his side's winless run to three games.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?

Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Omonia Nicosia to score 0.8 goals and Benfica 1.5.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Omonia Nicosia last 9 games and 13 of Benfica last 20.

How are Omonia Nicosia playing?

Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Benfica playing?

Benfica have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?

Benfica or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Omonia against Benfica. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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