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NHLSun 1 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Ottawa SenatorsAway
3.4 : 3.4
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
53%Senators
47%Ducks
Eagle safe pickDucks +2
-461

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.4 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Ducks +2 at -461.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Anaheim Ducks 3
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Ducks +2 at -461

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ducks +2
82% chanceFair price -4612 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 47% and Ottawa Senators 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 0 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 2 of their last 5. Ottawa Senators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.7. Ottawa Senators score 2.4 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.2 and 5.4 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 2. The last one ended Ottawa Senators 2, Anaheim Ducks 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Ducks +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks: Ottawa Senators shade it

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.4 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Ducks +2 at -461.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 0, Ottawa Senators won 2. Last time out it finished Ottawa Senators 2, Anaheim Ducks 0.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 3.4 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 3.4. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Ducks +2 at -461.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksSenators
Games played2020
Wins78
Losses1312
Goals scored4947
Goals conceded7461
Scored per game2.52.4
Conceded per game3.73.0
Home record3W 6L5W 5L
Away record4W 7L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -0.541%+144
Ducks +0.557%-135
Ducks +1.573%-267
Total goalsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.4 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Ducks +2 at -461.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Ottawa Senators 3.4 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Ottawa Senators 2, Anaheim Ducks 0. In the last 2 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 2.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks?

Ducks +2 at -461, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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