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Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers
NHLSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Ottawa SenatorsAway
2.9 : 2.6
projected goals
Philadelphia FlyersHome
59%Senators
41%Flyers
Eagle safe pickFlyers +2
-331

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 59% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.6. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -331.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Projected total
5.6 goals
Best bet
Flyers +2 at -331

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Flyers +2
77% chanceFair price -3312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Flyers 41% and Ottawa Senators 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Flyers won 0 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 5. Ottawa Senators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Flyers won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Flyers score 1.9 goals a game and let in 3.0. Ottawa Senators score 2.9 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.0 and 5.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Philadelphia Flyers won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 3. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Flyers +2 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flyersrest between games-2%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers: Ottawa Senators are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Flyers host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 59% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.6. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -331.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Philadelphia Flyers won 0, Ottawa Senators won 3. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 2.9 goals and Philadelphia Flyers about 2.6. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Flyers +2 at -331. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlyersSenators
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Goals scored3957
Goals conceded6055
Scored per game1.92.9
Conceded per game3.02.8
Home record5W 6L6W 4L
Away record2W 7L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flyers spreadCoversFair
Flyers -0.537%+172
Flyers +0.553%-114
Flyers +1.569%-223
Total goalsOverUnder
4.568%32%
5.551%49%
6.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flyers +3.5 wins if Flyers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Senators Goalie Linus Ullmark Leaves Bruins Game Early After Collision

Ottawa Senators goaltender Linus Ullmark exited Monday's game against Boston after a collision, but the move was described as precautionary.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 59% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.6. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -331.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers?

We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.6, about 5.6 goals in total.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Flyers and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2. In the last 3 meetings Philadelphia Flyers won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 3.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Flyers +2 at -331, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flyers against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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