Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights
NHLTue 27 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Ottawa SenatorsAway
2.9 : 3.5
projected goals
Vegas Golden KnightsHome
43%Senators
57%Golden Knights
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-353

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -353.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Projected total
6.4 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -353

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
78% chanceFair price -3532 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Senators to win
39% chanceFair price +1581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vegas Golden Knights 57% and Ottawa Senators 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vegas Golden Knights won 4 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 5. Vegas Golden Knights come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vegas Golden Knights won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vegas Golden Knights score 3.6 goals a game and let in 3.0. Ottawa Senators score 2.3 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.6 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Vegas Golden Knights won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 2. The last one ended Ottawa Senators 7, Vegas Golden Knights 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights shade it

The big picture

Vegas Golden Knights host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Tue 27 Oct, 22:00 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -353.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vegas Golden Knights won 0, Ottawa Senators won 2. Last time out it finished Ottawa Senators 7, Vegas Golden Knights 1.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 2.9 goals and Vegas Golden Knights about 3.5. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -353. Our bold bet is Senators to win at +158.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden KnightsSenators
Games played2020
Wins138
Losses712
Goals scored7346
Goals conceded5959
Scored per game3.62.3
Conceded per game3.03.0
Home record7W 4L5W 4L
Away record6W 3L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Golden Knights spreadCoversFair
Golden Knights -1.535%+182
Golden Knights -0.552%-107
Golden Knights +0.568%-209
Total goalsOverUnder
5.566%34%
6.549%51%
7.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Golden Knights +3.5 wins if Golden Knights win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -353.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights?

We project Ottawa Senators 2.9 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.5, about 6.4 goals in total.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Vegas Golden Knights and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Ottawa Senators 7, Vegas Golden Knights 1. In the last 2 meetings Vegas Golden Knights won 0 and Ottawa Senators won 2.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Under 8 goals at -353, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Knights against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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