Predictions › France › Paris FC vs AS Monaco

Ligue 1Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 France time

Paris FC vs AS Monaco prediction

Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FCHome

1.59 : 1.36

expected goals

AS MonacoAway

42%Paris FC

26%Draw

32%Monaco

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris FC vs AS Monaco is Paris FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Paris FC to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Paris FC 1.6, AS Monaco 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris FC to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Paris FC 42%, the draw 26% and AS Monaco 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris FC the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Paris FC took 10 points from their last 5 games and AS Monaco took 8 from 5. Paris FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Paris FC won 8 of their last 11 games at home. AS Monaco won 6 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Paris FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. AS Monaco score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Paris FC games and 13 of AS Monaco games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 2 and AS Monaco won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Paris FC 4, AS Monaco 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Paris FCrecent form+1%
Monacorecent form+1%

Paris FC form D L W D WMonaco form L W D W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Paris FC vs AS Monaco: Paris FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Paris FC host AS Monaco in the Ligue 1 on Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin. Our prediction for Paris FC vs AS Monaco is Paris FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Paris FC form

Paris FC have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

AS Monaco form

AS Monaco have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Paris FC won 2, AS Monaco won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Paris FC 4, AS Monaco 1.

Our call

We expect Paris FC to score about 1.6 goals and AS Monaco about 1.4. That points to Paris FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Paris FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Paris FC	Monaco
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	11
Draws	6	5
Losses	4	4
Goals scored	33	36
Goals conceded	23	27
Scored per game	1.6	1.8
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	8W 1D 2L	5W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 5D 2L	6W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Paris FC to win	43%	2.35	2.30	-1.9%
A Draw	25%	4.02	3.50	-13.0%
AS Monaco to win	31%	3.20	2.85	-11.1%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.69	-13.4%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.26	2.05	-9.4%
Paris FC -0.5	43%	2.35	2.15	-8.4%
AS Monaco +0.5	53%	1.89	1.57	-17.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.76
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.92
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Paris FC or Draw	68%	1.47
AS Monaco or Draw	58%	1.73
Paris FC to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.57
AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.81
Paris FC clean sheet	26%	3.90
AS Monaco clean sheet	20%	4.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%

2-19.0%

1-27.7%

1-07.6%

2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Kylian Mbappe Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Liverpool

Kylian Mbappe has revealed how his mother fell in love with Anfield and urged him to sign for Liverpool before he chose Paris Saint Germain.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris FC vs AS Monaco?

Our prediction for Paris FC vs AS Monaco is Paris FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Paris FC vs AS Monaco?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Paris FC to score 1.6 goals and AS Monaco 1.4.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs AS Monaco?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Paris FC last 20 games and 14 of AS Monaco last 20.

How are Paris FC playing?

How are AS Monaco playing?

What happened when Paris FC and AS Monaco last met?

It ended Paris FC 4, AS Monaco 1. In the last 2 meetings Paris FC won 2 and AS Monaco won 0.

What is the best bet for Paris FC vs AS Monaco?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Paris FC against Monaco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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