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Predictions › France › Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans
Ligue 1Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 France time

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans prediction

Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-GermainHome
3.79 : 0.95
expected goals
Le MansAway
86%PSG
9%Draw
5%Le Mans
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Chance
86%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Paris Saint-Germain 3.8, Le Mans 0.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 3-0
8% chanceFair price 12.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Paris Saint-Germain 86%, the draw 9% and Le Mans 5%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.06.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Paris Saint-Germain took 10 points from their last 5 games and Le Mans took 6 from 5. Paris Saint-Germain come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Paris Saint-Germain won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Le Mans won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Paris Saint-Germain score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Le Mans score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Paris Saint-Germain games and 9 of Le Mans games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PSGrecent form+3%
PSG form W W W L DLe Mans form W D D L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Paris Saint-Germain host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 at Parc des Princes. Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.21.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Le Mans form

Le Mans have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Paris Saint-Germain to score about 3.8 goals and Le Mans about 0.9. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-0 at 12.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PSGLe Mans
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws59
Losses32
Goals scored4536
Goals conceded2122
Scored per game2.31.8
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record6W 2D 2L5W 5D 0L
Away record6W 3D 1L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%40%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Paris Saint-Germain to win84%1.191.06-10.7%
A Draw7%15.0613.00-13.7%
Le Mans to win3%35.5921.00-41.0%
Over 4.5 goals43%2.332.10-9.8%
Under 4.5 goals51%1.971.65-16.7%
Paris Saint-Germain -2.553%1.871.57-16.1%
Le Mans +2.540%2.492.15-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals95%1.05
Over 2.5 goals85%1.18
Over 3.5 goals70%1.44
Both teams to score60%1.67
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw95%1.05
Le Mans or Draw14%7.39
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.577%1.30
Le Mans to win and Over 2.54%26.22
Paris Saint-Germain clean sheet39%2.58
Le Mans clean sheet2%44.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-08.0%
3-17.6%
4-07.5%
4-17.1%
2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Kylian Mbappe Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Liverpool

Kylian Mbappe has revealed how his mother fell in love with Anfield and urged him to sign for Liverpool before he chose Paris Saint Germain.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 86% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 4-0. We expect Paris Saint-Germain to score 3.8 goals and Le Mans 0.9.

Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20 games and 12 of Le Mans last 20.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Le Mans playing?

Le Mans have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PSG against Le Mans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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