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Predictions › Italy › Parma vs Bologna
Serie ASat 7 Nov, 17:00 Italy time

Parma vs Bologna prediction

Ennio Tardini

ParmaHome
0.73 : 1.53
expected goals
BolognaAway
17%Parma
27%Draw
56%Bologna
Eagle safe pickBologna or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Parma vs Bologna is Bologna to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Bologna or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Bologna to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Parma 0.7, Bologna 1.5
Best bet
Bologna or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bologna or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bologna to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Parma 17%, the draw 27% and Bologna 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Parma took 4 points from their last 5 games and Bologna took 10 from 5. Bologna come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Parma won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Bologna won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Parma score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bologna score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Parma games and 9 of Bologna games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Parma won 1 and Bologna won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bologna 0, Parma 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bologna or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Parmarecent form-3%
  • Bolognarecent form+1%
  • Parmarest between games-5%
  • Bolognarest between games-5%
Parma form D L L L WBologna form D W L W DHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Parma vs Bologna: Bologna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Parma host Bologna in the Serie A on Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 at Ennio Tardini. Our prediction for Parma vs Bologna is Bologna to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Bologna or Draw at 1.20.

Parma form

Parma have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Bologna form

Bologna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Parma won 1, Bologna won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bologna 0, Parma 1.

Our call

We expect Parma to score about 0.7 goals and Bologna about 1.5. That points to Bologna to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bologna or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Bologna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ParmaBologna
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws54
Losses119
Goals scored1324
Goals conceded2931
Scored per game0.71.2
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record3W 3D 4L1W 4D 5L
Away record1W 2D 7L6W 0D 4L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.55
Over 3.5 goals19%5.21
Both teams to score41%2.43
Parma or Draw44%2.26
Bologna or Draw83%1.21
Parma to win and Over 2.57%13.61
Bologna to win and Over 2.528%3.55
Parma clean sheet22%4.61
Bologna clean sheet48%2.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.3%
1-112.4%
0-212.2%
0-011.2%
1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Serie A

Parma Dismiss Manager Carlos Cuesta After Slow Start to Serie A Season

Parma have parted ways with head coach Carlos Cuesta after winning just one of their opening five league matches this season.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Parma vs Bologna?

Our prediction for Parma vs Bologna is Bologna to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Bologna or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Parma vs Bologna?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Parma to score 0.7 goals and Bologna 1.5.

Will both teams score in Parma vs Bologna?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Parma last 20 games and 9 of Bologna last 20.

How are Parma playing?

Parma have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Bologna playing?

Bologna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Parma and Bologna last met?

It ended Bologna 0, Parma 1. In the last 2 meetings Parma won 1 and Bologna won 1.

What is the best bet for Parma vs Bologna?

Bologna or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Parma against Bologna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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