Predictions › United States › Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers
NBAWed 28 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Philadelphia 76ersAway
118.0 : 115.0
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
58%76ers
42%Pacers
Eagle safe pickPacers +11.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 118.0 and Indiana Pacers 115.0. Our best bet is Pacers +11.5 at -313.

Prediction
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Philadelphia 76ers 118, Indiana Pacers 115
Projected total
233.1 points
Best bet
Pacers +11.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +11.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
42% chanceFair price +1411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 42% and Philadelphia 76ers 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5 and Philadelphia 76ers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia 76ers won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 117.5 points a game and let in 121.4. Philadelphia 76ers score 106.6 and let in 112.4. Their recent games average 238.9 and 219.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 0 and Philadelphia 76ers won 4. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 94, Philadelphia 76ers 105.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +11.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-2%
  • 76ersrest between games-2%
  • Pacersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers: Philadelphia 76ers are favourites

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA on Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 118.0 and Indiana Pacers 115.0. Our best bet is Pacers +11.5 at -313.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2351 points scored and 2428 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Philadelphia 76ers form

Philadelphia 76ers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2132 points scored and 2248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 0, Philadelphia 76ers won 4. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 94, Philadelphia 76ers 105.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia 76ers to score about 118.0 points and Indiana Pacers about 115.0. That points to Philadelphia 76ers to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +11.5 at -313. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +141.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Pacers76ers
Games played2020
Wins58
Losses1512
Points scored23512132
Points conceded24282248
Scored per game117.5106.6
Conceded per game121.4112.4
Home record2W 9L4W 5L
Away record3W 6L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers -2.533%+204
Pacers +0.542%+138
Pacers +3.552%-106
Pacers +6.561%-156
Pacers +9.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
227.562%38%
230.556%44%
233.549%51%
236.542%58%
239.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 118.0 and Indiana Pacers 115.0. Our best bet is Pacers +11.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Philadelphia 76ers 118.0 and Indiana Pacers 115.0, about 233.1 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2351 points scored and 2428 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia 76ers playing?

Philadelphia 76ers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2132 points scored and 2248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Philadelphia 76ers last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 94, Philadelphia 76ers 105. In the last 4 meetings Indiana Pacers won 0 and Philadelphia 76ers won 4.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers?

Pacers +11.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against 76ers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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