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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears
NFLMon 28 Sept, 20:15 United States time

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears prediction

Soldier Field

Philadelphia EaglesAway
21.4 : 19.2
projected points
Chicago BearsHome
64%Eagles
36%Bears
Eagle safe pickBears +10.5
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears is Philadelphia Eagles to win, with a 64% chance. We project Philadelphia Eagles 21.4 and Chicago Bears 19.2. Our best bet is Bears +10.5 at -290.

Prediction
Philadelphia Eagles to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Philadelphia Eagles 21, Chicago Bears 19
Projected total
40.6 points
Best bet
Bears +10.5 at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bears +10.5
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Bears 36% and Philadelphia Eagles 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Philadelphia Eagles the favourite at -192.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Bears won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Bears won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Philadelphia Eagles won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Bears score 25.9 points a game and let in 22.1. Philadelphia Eagles score 20.5 and let in 20.3. Their recent games average 48.0 and 40.8 points in total, and the market line is 41.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chicago Bears won 1 and Philadelphia Eagles won 0. The last one ended Philadelphia Eagles 15, Chicago Bears 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bears +10.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bearsteam news-3%
  • Eaglesteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears: Philadelphia Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Bears host Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Mon 28 Sept, 20:15 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears is Philadelphia Eagles to win, with a 64% chance. We project Philadelphia Eagles 21.4 and Chicago Bears 19.2. Our best bet is Bears +10.5 at -290.

Chicago Bears form

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 517 points scored and 443 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 405 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chicago Bears won 1, Philadelphia Eagles won 0. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Eagles 15, Chicago Bears 24.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Eagles to score about 21.4 points and Chicago Bears about 19.2. That points to Philadelphia Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Bears +10.5 at -290.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BearsEagles
Games played2020
Wins1310
Losses710
Points scored517410
Points conceded443405
Scored per game25.920.5
Conceded per game22.120.3
Home record7W 3L4W 5L
Away record6W 4L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bears to win36%+177+160-6.3%
Eagles to win59%-143-192-10.4%
Bears +3.551%-103-108-2.5%
Eagles -3.543%+132-112-18.4%
Over 41.5 points44%+127-110-15.9%
Under 41.5 points50%+101-110-5.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Bears spreadCoversFair
Bears -4.531%+223
Bears -0.542%+138
Bears +2.551%-103
Bears +5.560%-147
Bears +9.570%-239
Total pointsOverUnder
33.571%29%
37.559%41%
40.550%50%
43.541%59%
47.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bears +3.5 wins if Bears win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Caleb Williams Facing Multiple Weeks Out With Hamstring Injury

Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is expected to miss three to four weeks with a Grade 2 hamstring injury, leaving Chicago with a decision to make.

21 hours ago
NFL

Chicago Bears Face Quarterback Dilemma Ahead of Eagles Game

Caleb Williams is out for Monday's game against the Eagles, leaving the Bears to choose between Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum.

26 Sept 2026
NFL

Saquon Barkley Set to Play Through Neck Injury Against Bears

Eagles running back Saquon Barkley plans to play through a neck stinger on Monday night against the Chicago Bears.

25 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears is Philadelphia Eagles to win, with a 64% chance. We project Philadelphia Eagles 21.4 and Chicago Bears 19.2. Our best bet is Bears +10.5 at -290.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears?

We project Philadelphia Eagles 21.4 and Chicago Bears 19.2, about 40.6 points in total.

How are Chicago Bears playing?

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 517 points scored and 443 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

Philadelphia Eagles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 405 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles last met?

It ended Philadelphia Eagles 15, Chicago Bears 24. In the last 1 meeting Chicago Bears won 1 and Philadelphia Eagles won 0.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears?

Bears +10.5 at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bears against Eagles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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