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NHLSun 8 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Philadelphia FlyersAway
2.7 : 2.9
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
49%Flyers
51%Flames
Eagle safe pickFlyers +2
-400

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -400.

Prediction
Calgary Flames to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
5.6 goals
Best bet
Flyers +2 at -400

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Flyers +2
80% chanceFair price -4002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 51% and Philadelphia Flyers 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 4 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 2 of their last 5. Calgary Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.3 goals a game and let in 3.4. Philadelphia Flyers score 1.9 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.7 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Calgary Flames won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0. The last one ended Calgary Flames 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Flyers +2 has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames: Calgary Flames shade it

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -400.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 2, Philadelphia Flyers won 0. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.7 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.9. That points to Calgary Flames to win. Our safest bet is Flyers +2 at -400. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesFlyers
Games played2020
Wins84
Losses1216
Goals scored4637
Goals conceded6769
Scored per game2.31.9
Conceded per game3.43.5
Home record7W 5L3W 8L
Away record1W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.530%+230
Flames -0.546%+117
Flames +0.562%-166
Total goalsOverUnder
4.568%32%
5.551%49%
6.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +2 at -400.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 2.9, about 5.6 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1. In the last 2 meetings Calgary Flames won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames?

Flyers +2 at -400, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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