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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals
NHLWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Philadelphia FlyersAway
2.5 : 3.5
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
30%Flyers
70%Capitals
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-510

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.5 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -510.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Washington Capitals 4
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -510

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
84% chanceFair price -5102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
29% chanceFair price +2401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 70% and Philadelphia Flyers 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.7 goals a game and let in 2.9. Philadelphia Flyers score 1.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.5 and 4.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Capitals won 4 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Washington Capitals 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-5%
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.5 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -510.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 4, Philadelphia Flyers won 1. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 1, Washington Capitals 5.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.5 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.5. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -510. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +240.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsFlyers
Games played2020
Wins143
Losses617
Goals scored7428
Goals conceded5765
Scored per game3.71.4
Conceded per game2.93.3
Home record9W 1L3W 7L
Away record5W 5L0W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -2.527%+270
Capitals -1.542%+137
Capitals -0.559%-143
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ovechkin Starts Final NHL Season with Special Family Moment

Alex Ovechkin celebrated his final home opener with his sons and a 5-3 win over rival Sidney Crosby and the Penguins.

8 Oct 2026
NHL

Capitals Sign Justin Sourdif to Eight Year Contract Extension

The Washington Capitals have signed forward Justin Sourdif to an eight year contract extension worth 6.35 million dollars annually.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 70% chance. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.5 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -510.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.5 and Washington Capitals 3.5, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Washington Capitals 5. In the last 5 meetings Washington Capitals won 4 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals?

Over 4 goals at -510, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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