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Predictions › United States › Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets
NBAMon 16 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Phoenix SunsAway
113.9 : 119.7
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
31%Suns
69%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets +2.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 113.9 and Denver Nuggets 119.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -313.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 114, Denver Nuggets 120
Projected total
233.5 points
Best bet
Nuggets +2.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +2.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
32% chanceFair price +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 69% and Phoenix Suns 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5. Denver Nuggets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 114.3 points a game and let in 113.5. Phoenix Suns score 109.7 and let in 116.4. Their recent games average 227.8 and 226.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 4 and Phoenix Suns won 0. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 120, Denver Nuggets 127.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +2.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-2%
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Mon 16 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 113.9 and Denver Nuggets 119.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -313.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2271 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2328 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 4, Phoenix Suns won 0. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 120, Denver Nuggets 127.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 113.9 points and Denver Nuggets about 119.7. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -313. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsSuns
Games played2020
Wins115
Losses915
Points scored22862193
Points conceded22712328
Scored per game114.3109.7
Conceded per game113.5116.4
Home record6W 4L4W 6L
Away record5W 5L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -11.532%+208
Nuggets -8.541%+141
Nuggets -5.551%-104
Nuggets -2.560%-153
Nuggets +0.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.557%43%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Slow Start for Nikola Jokic Leaves Denver Nuggets Seeking Answers

Nikola Jokic has struggled early this season, exposing roster flaws for the Denver Nuggets.

5 Nov 2026
NBA

Dillon Brooks Ejected in Phoenix Loss Against Denver

Dillon Brooks was tossed after a Flagrant 2 foul on Jamal Murray, leading to a 127-120 Suns loss against Denver.

31 Oct 2026
NBA

Nikola Jokic Hits Milestone as Denver Sweeps New Orleans

Nikola Jokic earned his 200th triple-double as the Denver Nuggets secured a 104-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 69% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 113.9 and Denver Nuggets 119.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +2.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Phoenix Suns 113.9 and Denver Nuggets 119.7, about 233.5 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2271 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2328 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 120, Denver Nuggets 127. In the last 4 meetings Denver Nuggets won 4 and Phoenix Suns won 0.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets +2.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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