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Predictions › United States › Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons
NBAMon 5 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Phoenix SunsAway
107.0 : 114.5
projected points
Detroit PistonsHome
26%Suns
74%Pistons
Eagle safe pickPistons +0.5
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 74% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.5. Our best bet is Pistons +0.5 at -296.

Prediction
Detroit Pistons to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 107, Detroit Pistons 115
Projected total
221.6 points
Best bet
Pistons +0.5 at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pistons +0.5
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
26% chanceFair price +2871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Pistons 74% and Phoenix Suns 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Pistons won 1 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Pistons won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Pistons score 109.7 points a game and let in 105.1. Phoenix Suns score 111.2 and let in 112.3. Their recent games average 214.8 and 223.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Pistons won 1 and Phoenix Suns won 1. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 114, Detroit Pistons 96.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pistons +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pistonsrest between games-3%
  • Sunsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Pistons host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Mon 5 Oct, 19:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 74% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.5. Our best bet is Pistons +0.5 at -296.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2102 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Pistons won 1, Phoenix Suns won 1. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 114, Detroit Pistons 96.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 107.0 points and Detroit Pistons about 114.5. That points to Detroit Pistons to win. Our safest bet is Pistons +0.5 at -296. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +287.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PistonsSuns
Games played2020
Wins127
Losses813
Points scored21932223
Points conceded21022245
Scored per game109.7111.2
Conceded per game105.1112.3
Home record7W 3L4W 6L
Away record5W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pistons spreadCoversFair
Pistons -13.532%+217
Pistons -10.541%+147
Pistons -7.550%-100
Pistons -4.560%-147
Pistons -1.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
215.563%37%
218.557%43%
221.550%50%
224.544%56%
227.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pistons +3.5 wins if Pistons win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Detroit Pistons Secure Ausar Thompson With Huge New Extension

The Detroit Pistons have locked down defensive star Ausar Thompson with a five year, $155 million contract extension.

18 Sept 2026
NBA

Phoenix Suns Sign Duop Reath to Boost Frontcourt Depth

The Phoenix Suns are signing center Duop Reath to add depth to their frontcourt while Mark Williams recovers from a shoulder injury.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 74% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.5. Our best bet is Pistons +0.5 at -296.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons?

We project Phoenix Suns 107.0 and Detroit Pistons 114.5, about 221.6 points in total.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2102 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Pistons and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 114, Detroit Pistons 96. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Pistons won 1 and Phoenix Suns won 1.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons?

Pistons +0.5 at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pistons against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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