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NBAMon 2 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Phoenix SunsAway
112.0 : 115.7
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
42%Suns
58%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +4.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Phoenix Suns 112.0 and Golden State Warriors 115.7. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -308.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 112, Golden State Warriors 116
Projected total
227.8 points
Best bet
Warriors +4.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
38% chanceFair price +1651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 58% and Phoenix Suns 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 111.6 points a game and let in 114.0. Phoenix Suns score 108.3 and let in 114.3. Their recent games average 225.7 and 222.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 3 and Phoenix Suns won 2. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Sunsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors: Golden State Warriors shade it

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 22:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Phoenix Suns 112.0 and Golden State Warriors 115.7. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -308.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2232 points scored and 2281 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2285 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 3, Phoenix Suns won 2. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 112.0 points and Golden State Warriors about 115.7. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +4.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +165.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsSuns
Games played2020
Wins86
Losses1214
Points scored22322165
Points conceded22812285
Scored per game111.6108.3
Conceded per game114.0114.3
Home record6W 5L3W 5L
Away record2W 7L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -9.532%+212
Warriors -6.541%+143
Warriors -3.551%-102
Warriors -0.560%-150
Warriors +2.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
221.564%36%
224.557%43%
227.551%49%
230.544%56%
233.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Phoenix Suns 112.0 and Golden State Warriors 115.7. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Phoenix Suns 112.0 and Golden State Warriors 115.7, about 227.8 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2232 points scored and 2281 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2285 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96. In the last 5 meetings Golden State Warriors won 3 and Phoenix Suns won 2.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +4.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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