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Predictions › United States › Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBAMon 26 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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Phoenix SunsAway
107.6 : 116.3
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
24%Suns
76%Thunder
Eagle safe pickThunder to win
-317

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 76% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.6 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.3. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -317.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 116
Projected total
223.9 points
Best bet
Thunder to win at -317

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder to win
76% chanceFair price -3172 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 76% and Phoenix Suns 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 1 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 114.1 points a game and let in 110.5. Phoenix Suns score 111.2 and let in 113.8. Their recent games average 224.7 and 224.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 and Phoenix Suns won 1. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 122, Oklahoma City Thunder 131.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
  • Sunsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 76% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.6 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.3. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -317.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2282 points scored and 2211 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2276 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 4, Phoenix Suns won 1. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 122, Oklahoma City Thunder 131.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 107.6 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 116.3. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder to win at -317.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderSuns
Games played2020
Wins127
Losses813
Points scored22822223
Points conceded22112276
Scored per game114.1111.2
Conceded per game110.5113.8
Home record7W 4L4W 5L
Away record5W 4L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -14.532%+211
Thunder -11.541%+143
Thunder -8.551%-103
Thunder -5.560%-151
Thunder -2.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
217.564%36%
220.558%42%
223.551%49%
226.544%56%
229.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Phoenix Suns Sign Duop Reath to Boost Frontcourt Depth

The Phoenix Suns are signing center Duop Reath to add depth to their frontcourt while Mark Williams recovers from a shoulder injury.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 76% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.6 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.3. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -317.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project Phoenix Suns 107.6 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.3, about 223.9 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2282 points scored and 2211 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2276 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 122, Oklahoma City Thunder 131. In the last 5 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 and Phoenix Suns won 1.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Thunder to win at -317, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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