Predictions › United States › Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings
NBAWed 18 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Phoenix SunsAway
116.7 : 111.9
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
66%Suns
34%Kings
Eagle safe pickSuns +3.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 66% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 116.7 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Suns +3.5 at -307.

Prediction
Phoenix Suns to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 117, Sacramento Kings 112
Projected total
228.7 points
Best bet
Suns +3.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
34% chanceFair price +1941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 34% and Phoenix Suns 66%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 2 of their last 5. Phoenix Suns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 108.5 points a game and let in 120.7. Phoenix Suns score 109.2 and let in 117.3. Their recent games average 229.2 and 226.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 0 and Phoenix Suns won 4. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 103, Phoenix Suns 114.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings: Phoenix Suns are favourites

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Wed 18 Nov, 22:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 66% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 116.7 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Suns +3.5 at -307.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2413 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2183 points scored and 2345 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 0, Phoenix Suns won 4. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 103, Phoenix Suns 114.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 116.7 points and Sacramento Kings about 111.9. That points to Phoenix Suns to win. Our safest bet is Suns +3.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +194.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsSuns
Games played2020
Wins35
Losses1715
Points scored21702183
Points conceded24132345
Scored per game108.5109.2
Conceded per game120.7117.3
Home record2W 8L5W 7L
Away record1W 9L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings -1.531%+226
Kings +1.540%+153
Kings +4.549%+104
Kings +7.559%-141
Kings +10.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
222.563%37%
225.557%43%
228.550%50%
231.544%56%
234.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 66% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 116.7 and Sacramento Kings 111.9. Our best bet is Suns +3.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Phoenix Suns 116.7 and Sacramento Kings 111.9, about 228.7 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2413 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2183 points scored and 2345 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 103, Phoenix Suns 114. In the last 4 meetings Sacramento Kings won 0 and Phoenix Suns won 4.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings?

Suns +3.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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