Predictions › United States › Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAWed 14 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Phoenix SunsAway
107.8 : 115.6
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
25%Suns
75%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs +0.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.8 and San Antonio Spurs 115.6. Our best bet is Spurs +0.5 at -308.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Phoenix Suns 108, San Antonio Spurs 116
Projected total
223.4 points
Best bet
Spurs +0.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs +0.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
25% chanceFair price +2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 75% and Phoenix Suns 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5 and Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Phoenix Suns won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.5 points a game and let in 105.0. Phoenix Suns score 111.2 and let in 112.3. Their recent games average 217.6 and 223.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Phoenix Suns won 2. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-3%
  • Sunsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Phoenix Suns in the NBA on Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.8 and San Antonio Spurs 115.6. Our best bet is Spurs +0.5 at -308.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 2, Phoenix Suns won 2. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100.

Our call

We expect Phoenix Suns to score about 107.8 points and San Antonio Spurs about 115.6. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs +0.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursSuns
Games played2020
Wins117
Losses913
Points scored22512223
Points conceded21002245
Scored per game112.5111.2
Conceded per game105.0112.3
Home record5W 5L4W 6L
Away record6W 4L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -13.533%+206
Spurs -10.542%+140
Spurs -7.551%-105
Spurs -4.561%-154
Spurs -1.569%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
217.563%37%
220.556%44%
223.550%50%
226.543%57%
229.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 75% chance. We project Phoenix Suns 107.8 and San Antonio Spurs 115.6. Our best bet is Spurs +0.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Phoenix Suns 107.8 and San Antonio Spurs 115.6, about 223.4 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Phoenix Suns last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100. In the last 4 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Phoenix Suns won 2.

What is the best bet for Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs +0.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Suns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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