Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles prediction

Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Pittsburgh PanthersAway
29.5 : 23.8
projected points
Boston College EaglesHome
66%Pitt
34%Boston College
Eagle safe pickPitt +4.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 29.5 and Boston College Eagles 23.8. Our best bet is Pitt +4.5 at -299.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Panthers to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Panthers 30, Boston College Eagles 24
Projected total
53.3 points
Best bet
Pitt +4.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pitt +4.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Boston College to win
34% chanceFair price +1931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston College Eagles 34% and Pittsburgh Panthers 66%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston College Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 5 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston College Eagles won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Pittsburgh Panthers won 5 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston College Eagles score 19.6 points a game and let in 30.5. Pittsburgh Panthers score 32.8 and let in 22.7. Their recent games average 50.1 and 55.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boston College Eagles won 0 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Panthers 48, Boston College Eagles 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pitt +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles: Pittsburgh Panthers are favourites

The big picture

Boston College Eagles host Pittsburgh Panthers in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA). Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 29.5 and Boston College Eagles 23.8. Our best bet is Pitt +4.5 at -299.

Boston College Eagles form

Boston College Eagles have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 294 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Panthers form

Pittsburgh Panthers have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 524 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boston College Eagles won 0, Pittsburgh Panthers won 1. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Panthers 48, Boston College Eagles 7.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Panthers to score about 29.5 points and Boston College Eagles about 23.8. That points to Pittsburgh Panthers to win. Our safest bet is Pitt +4.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Boston College to win at +193.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Boston CollegePitt
Games played1516
Wins311
Losses125
Points scored294524
Points conceded458363
Scored per game19.632.8
Conceded per game30.522.7
Home record2W 7L6W 3L
Away record1W 5L5W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Boston College spreadCoversFair
Boston College -1.533%+207
Boston College +2.542%+138
Boston College +5.549%+103
Boston College +8.557%-132
Boston College +12.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Boston College +3.5 wins if Boston College win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 29.5 and Boston College Eagles 23.8. Our best bet is Pitt +4.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles?

We project Pittsburgh Panthers 29.5 and Boston College Eagles 23.8, about 53.3 points in total.

How are Boston College Eagles playing?

Boston College Eagles have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 294 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Panthers playing?

Pittsburgh Panthers have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 524 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston College Eagles and Pittsburgh Panthers last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Panthers 48, Boston College Eagles 7. In the last 1 meeting Boston College Eagles won 0 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Boston College Eagles?

Pitt +4.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boston College against Pitt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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