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NHLSat 31 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.3 : 3.2
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
53%Penguins
47%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickCanadiens +2
-441

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.2. Our best bet is Canadiens +2 at -441.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Canadiens +2 at -441

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Canadiens +2
81% chanceFair price -4412 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 47% and Pittsburgh Penguins 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.3. Pittsburgh Penguins score 2.8 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.4 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 3 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Montreal Canadiens 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Canadiens +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Penguinsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.2. Our best bet is Canadiens +2 at -441.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 3, Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Montreal Canadiens 5.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.3 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.2. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Canadiens +2 at -441.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensPenguins
Games played2020
Wins107
Losses1013
Goals scored6255
Goals conceded6667
Scored per game3.12.8
Conceded per game3.33.4
Home record6W 5L4W 4L
Away record4W 5L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -0.540%+148
Canadiens +0.557%-131
Canadiens +1.572%-259
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.2. Our best bet is Canadiens +2 at -441.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.2, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Montreal Canadiens 5. In the last 5 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 3 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens?

Canadiens +2 at -441, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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