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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns
NFLThu 1 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns prediction

Huntington Bank Field

Pittsburgh SteelersAway
20.0 : 19.1
projected points
Cleveland BrownsHome
58%Steelers
42%Browns
Eagle safe pickBrowns +9.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 and Cleveland Browns 19.1. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -295.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Steelers 20, Cleveland Browns 19
Projected total
39.0 points
Best bet
Browns +9.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Browns +9.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Browns 42% and Pittsburgh Steelers 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 5. Cleveland Browns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Browns won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Browns score 17.1 points a game and let in 23.0. Pittsburgh Steelers score 20.8 and let in 21.6. Their recent games average 40.0 and 42.4 points in total, and the market line is 38.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cleveland Browns won 1 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 1. The last one ended Cleveland Browns 13, Pittsburgh Steelers 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Browns +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brownsrest between games-5%
  • Steelersrest between games-5%
  • Steelersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns: Pittsburgh Steelers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cleveland Browns host Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Thu 1 Oct, 20:15 at Huntington Bank Field. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 and Cleveland Browns 19.1. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -295.

Cleveland Browns form

Cleveland Browns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 460 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Steelers form

Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cleveland Browns won 1, Pittsburgh Steelers won 1. Last time out it finished Cleveland Browns 13, Pittsburgh Steelers 6.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Steelers to score about 20.0 points and Cleveland Browns about 19.1. That points to Pittsburgh Steelers to win. Our safest bet is Browns +9.5 at -295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrownsSteelers
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Points scored341415
Points conceded460433
Scored per game17.120.8
Conceded per game23.021.6
Home record4W 6L8W 4L
Away record3W 7L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Browns to win42%+140+120-8.5%
Steelers to win52%-109-142-11.1%
Browns +2.552%-106-108-0.7%
Steelers -2.542%+137-112-20.2%
Over 38.5 points48%+106-105-5.4%
Under 38.5 points45%+121-115-15.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Browns spreadCoversFair
Browns -6.529%+243
Browns -2.540%+150
Browns +0.549%+105
Browns +3.558%-136
Browns +7.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
32.569%31%
36.558%42%
39.549%51%
42.539%61%
46.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Browns +3.5 wins if Browns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Cowboys and Lions Inquire About Steelers Cornerback Joey Porter Jr

The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions have contacted the Pittsburgh Steelers about a trade for cornerback Joey Porter Jr.

21 hours ago
NFL

Joey Porter Jr. Eyes Week 3 Return As Injury And Contract Issues Linger

Joey Porter Jr. could return in Week 3, but a back injury and contract dispute keep his status uncertain.

20 Sept 2026
NFL

Browns Set to Evaluate Deshaun Watson After Buccaneers Clash

Deshaun Watson faces a critical test against Tampa Bay as the Cleveland Browns prepare to evaluate their quarterback situation ahead of Week 3.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 58% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 and Cleveland Browns 19.1. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns?

We project Pittsburgh Steelers 20.0 and Cleveland Browns 19.1, about 39.0 points in total.

How are Cleveland Browns playing?

Cleveland Browns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 460 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Steelers playing?

Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers last met?

It ended Cleveland Browns 13, Pittsburgh Steelers 6. In the last 2 meetings Cleveland Browns won 1 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns?

Browns +9.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Browns against Steelers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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