Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles

NFLSun 22 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction

Lincoln Financial Field

Pittsburgh SteelersAway

21.5 : 17.8

projected points

Philadelphia EaglesHome

64%Steelers

36%Eagles

Eagle safe pickOver 31.5 points

-282

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 17.8. Our best bet is Over 31.5 points at -282.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Chance: 64%
Projected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Philadelphia Eagles 18
Projected total: 39.3 points
Best bet: Over 31.5 points at -282

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 31.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2821 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eagles to win

36% chancePrice +1641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Philadelphia Eagles 36% and Pittsburgh Steelers 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at -198.
2
Recent form
Philadelphia Eagles won 0 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 4 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Steelers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Steelers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Scoring
Philadelphia Eagles score 17.6 points a game and let in 22.3. Pittsburgh Steelers score 21.3 and let in 19.8. Their recent games average 40.0 and 41.0 points in total, and the market line is 38.5.
5
The safest bet
Over 31.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles: Pittsburgh Steelers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Eagles host Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Lincoln Financial Field. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 64% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 17.8. Our best bet is Over 31.5 points at -282.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 353 points scored and 446 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Steelers form

Pittsburgh Steelers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 426 points scored and 395 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Steelers to score about 21.5 points and Philadelphia Eagles about 17.8. That points to Pittsburgh Steelers to win. Our safest bet is Over 31.5 points at -282. Our bold bet is Eagles to win at +164.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Eagles	Steelers
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	12
Losses	15	8
Points scored	353	426
Points conceded	446	395
Scored per game	17.6	21.3
Conceded per game	22.3	19.8
Home record	2W 8L	8W 3L
Away record	3W 7L	4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Eagles to win	36%	+177	+164	-4.5%
Steelers to win	59%	-145	-198	-10.9%
Eagles +4.5	48%	+108	-110	-8.1%
Steelers -4.5	45%	+123	-110	-14.3%
Over 38.5 points	48%	+107	-110	-7.7%
Under 38.5 points	45%	+124	-110	-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Eagles spread	Covers	Fair
Eagles -3.5	30%	+239
Eagles +0.5	40%	+147
Eagles +3.5	49%	+103
Eagles +6.5	58%	-138
Eagles +10.5	69%	-224

Total points	Over	Under
32.5	70%	30%
36.5	59%	41%
39.5	49%	51%
42.5	40%	60%
46.5	29%	71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Eagles +3.5 wins if Eagles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Steelers Legend Dick Hoak Dies at Age 86

Dick Hoak spent more than 45 years with the Pittsburgh Steelers as a player and coach. He won five Super Bowl rings and died at age 86.

7 hours ago

NFL

Nick Sirianni Considers Staff Changes After Eagles Loss to Giants

Nick Sirianni is open to staff and roster changes as the Eagles head into their bye week after a seventh straight loss.

9 Nov 2026

NFL

Jalen Hurts Visits Eagles Facility During Recovery

Jalen Hurts returned to the Eagles facility on Wednesday as he recovers from blood clots, giving teammates a quick morale boost.

5 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.5 and Philadelphia Eagles 17.8, about 39.3 points in total.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

How are Pittsburgh Steelers playing?

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Over 31.5 points at -282, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eagles against Steelers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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