Predictions › United States › Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers
NBAFri 6 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

crypto.com Arena

Portland Trail BlazersAway
116.9 : 120.2
projected points
Los Angeles LakersHome
47%Trail Blazers
53%Lakers
Eagle safe pickTrail Blazers +11.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Portland Trail Blazers 116.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 120.2. Our best bet is Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Portland Trail Blazers 117, Los Angeles Lakers 120
Projected total
237.0 points
Best bet
Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Trail Blazers +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Lakers 53% and Portland Trail Blazers 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Lakers the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Lakers won 3 of their last 5 and Portland Trail Blazers won 4 of their last 5. Portland Trail Blazers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Lakers won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Portland Trail Blazers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Lakers score 110.0 points a game and let in 110.9. Portland Trail Blazers score 114.9 and let in 108.4. Their recent games average 220.9 and 223.3 points in total, and the market line is 238.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Los Angeles Lakers won 1 and Portland Trail Blazers won 3. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 129, Portland Trail Blazers 136.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Trail Blazers +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lakersrest between games-5%
  • Trail Blazersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

The big picture

Los Angeles Lakers host Portland Trail Blazers in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 22:00 at crypto.com Arena. Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Portland Trail Blazers 116.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 120.2. Our best bet is Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2200 points scored and 2218 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Portland Trail Blazers form

Portland Trail Blazers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2298 points scored and 2168 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Los Angeles Lakers won 1, Portland Trail Blazers won 3. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 129, Portland Trail Blazers 136.

Our call

We expect Portland Trail Blazers to score about 116.9 points and Los Angeles Lakers about 120.2. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LakersTrail Blazers
Games played2020
Wins1013
Losses107
Points scored22002298
Points conceded22182168
Scored per game110.0114.9
Conceded per game110.9108.4
Home record6W 6L7W 2L
Away record4W 4L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Lakers to win53%-114-155-12.3%
Trail Blazers to win41%+146+130-6.3%
Lakers -3.547%+114-115-12.7%
Trail Blazers +3.547%+111-105-7.3%
Over 238.5 points45%+123-110-14.3%
Under 238.5 points49%+103-110-5.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Lakers spreadCoversFair
Lakers -9.531%+222
Lakers -6.540%+150
Lakers -3.549%+102
Lakers -0.559%-143
Lakers +2.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
231.562%38%
234.556%44%
237.549%51%
240.542%58%
243.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lakers +3.5 wins if Lakers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Portland Trail Blazers 116.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 120.2. Our best bet is Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers?

We project Portland Trail Blazers 116.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 120.2, about 237.0 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2200 points scored and 2218 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Portland Trail Blazers playing?

Portland Trail Blazers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2298 points scored and 2168 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 129, Portland Trail Blazers 136. In the last 4 meetings Los Angeles Lakers won 1 and Portland Trail Blazers won 3.

What is the best bet for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Trail Blazers +11.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lakers against Trail Blazers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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