Predictions › United Kingdom › Portsmouth vs Millwall

ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction

Fratton Park

PortsmouthHome

1.14 : 1.23

expected goals

MillwallAway

33%Portsmouth

29%Draw

38%Millwall

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall is Millwall to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Millwall to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.1, Millwall 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Portsmouth 33%, the draw 29% and Millwall 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Portsmouth took 5 points from their last 5 games and Millwall took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Millwall won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Portsmouth score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Millwall score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Portsmouth games and 8 of Millwall games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 2 and Millwall won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Millwall 1, Portsmouth 3.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Millwallrest between games-5%

Portsmouth form D D D W LMillwall form D W D D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portsmouth vs Millwall: Millwall shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Portsmouth host Millwall in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 at Fratton Park. Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall is Millwall to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Millwall form

Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Millwall 1, Portsmouth 3.

Our call

We expect Portsmouth to score about 1.1 goals and Millwall about 1.2. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Portsmouth	Millwall
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	9	6
Goals scored	24	26
Goals conceded	33	22
Scored per game	1.2	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	3W 3D 4L	4W 1D 4L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	4W 5D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	45%
Both teams scored	60%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	4/9
Over 2.5 goals	42%	11/8
Over 3.5 goals	21%	7/2
Both teams to score	49%	21/20
Portsmouth or Draw	62%	8/13
Millwall or Draw	67%	1/2
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.5	17%	5/1
Millwall to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Portsmouth clean sheet	29%	12/5
Millwall clean sheet	32%	85/40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%

0-110.8%

0-010.2%

1-09.9%

1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Championship

Massive Police Presence Set for Millwall and West Ham Derby

Police are deploying 400 officers and facial recognition technology for the first Dockers Derby in 14 years.

19 Sept 2026

Championship

Millwall and West Ham ready to renew historic London rivalry at The Den

One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall is Millwall to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Portsmouth to score 1.1 goals and Millwall 1.2.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Portsmouth last 20 games and 7 of Millwall last 20.

How are Portsmouth playing?

How are Millwall playing?

What happened when Portsmouth and Millwall last met?

It ended Millwall 1, Portsmouth 3. In the last 2 meetings Portsmouth won 2 and Millwall won 0.

What is the best bet for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Portsmouth against Millwall. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.