Quick answer
Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 76% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 24.7 and Illinois Fighting Illini 35.4. Our best bet is Illinois to win at -375.
- Prediction
- Illinois Fighting Illini to win
- Chance
- 76%
- Projected score
- Purdue Boilermakers 25, Illinois Fighting Illini 35
- Projected total
- 60.1 points
- Best bet
- Illinois to win at -375
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Illinois to win
76% chancePrice -3751 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Illinois Fighting Illini 76% and Purdue Boilermakers 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Illinois Fighting Illini the favourite at -375.
- 2
Recent formIllinois Fighting Illini won 3 of their last 5 and Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 5. Illinois Fighting Illini come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayIllinois Fighting Illini won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Purdue Boilermakers won 0 of their last 6 on the road.
- 4
ScoringIllinois Fighting Illini score 28.1 points a game and let in 26.1. Purdue Boilermakers score 20.6 and let in 37.4. Their recent games average 54.1 and 57.9 points in total, and the market line is 60.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Illinois Fighting Illini won 1 and Purdue Boilermakers won 0. The last one ended Purdue Boilermakers 27, Illinois Fighting Illini 43.
- 6
The safest betIllinois to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Illinoisrest between games-5%
- Purduerest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewPurdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini: Illinois Fighting Illini are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Illinois Fighting Illini host Purdue Boilermakers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 16:15 at Gies Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 76% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 24.7 and Illinois Fighting Illini 35.4. Our best bet is Illinois to win at -375.
Illinois Fighting Illini form
Illinois Fighting Illini have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 421 points scored and 391 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.
Purdue Boilermakers form
Purdue Boilermakers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 288 points scored and 523 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Illinois Fighting Illini won 1, Purdue Boilermakers won 0. Last time out it finished Purdue Boilermakers 27, Illinois Fighting Illini 43.
Our call
We expect Purdue Boilermakers to score about 24.7 points and Illinois Fighting Illini about 35.4. That points to Illinois Fighting Illini to win. Our safest bet is Illinois to win at -375.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 15 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Illinois +3.5 wins if Illinois win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 76% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 24.7 and Illinois Fighting Illini 35.4. Our best bet is Illinois to win at -375.
What is the projected score for Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
We project Purdue Boilermakers 24.7 and Illinois Fighting Illini 35.4, about 60.1 points in total.
How are Illinois Fighting Illini playing?
Illinois Fighting Illini have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 421 points scored and 391 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.
How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?
Purdue Boilermakers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 288 points scored and 523 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
What happened when Illinois Fighting Illini and Purdue Boilermakers last met?
It ended Purdue Boilermakers 27, Illinois Fighting Illini 43. In the last 1 meeting Illinois Fighting Illini won 1 and Purdue Boilermakers won 0.
What is the best bet for Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
Illinois to win at -375, with a 76% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Illinois against Purdue. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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