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Predictions › United States › Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction

Kinnick Stadium

Purdue BoilermakersAway
14.9 : 30.5
projected points
Iowa HawkeyesHome
16%Purdue
84%Iowa
Eagle safe pickIowa to win
-513

Quick answer

Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 14.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 30.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -513.

Prediction
Iowa Hawkeyes to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Purdue Boilermakers 15, Iowa Hawkeyes 30
Projected total
45.3 points
Best bet
Iowa to win at -513

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa to win
84% chanceFair price -5132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iowa Hawkeyes 84% and Purdue Boilermakers 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 3 of their last 5 and Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 5. Iowa Hawkeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Iowa Hawkeyes score 29.5 points a game and let in 15.1. Purdue Boilermakers score 22.0 and let in 34.6. Their recent games average 44.5 and 56.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Iowa to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes: Iowa Hawkeyes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Iowa Hawkeyes host Purdue Boilermakers in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Kinnick Stadium. Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 14.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 30.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -513.

Iowa Hawkeyes form

Iowa Hawkeyes have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 560 points scored and 286 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Purdue Boilermakers form

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 396 points scored and 622 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Purdue Boilermakers to score about 14.9 points and Iowa Hawkeyes about 30.5. That points to Iowa Hawkeyes to win. Our safest bet is Iowa to win at -513.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

IowaPurdue
Games played1918
Wins143
Losses515
Points scored560396
Points conceded286622
Scored per game29.522.0
Conceded per game15.134.6
Home record8W 3L2W 8L
Away record6W 2L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Iowa spreadCoversFair
Iowa -22.533%+200
Iowa -18.543%+134
Iowa -15.550%-101
Iowa -12.558%-136
Iowa -8.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.557%43%
45.550%50%
48.542%58%
52.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa +3.5 wins if Iowa win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

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Questions people ask

Who will win Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 14.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 30.5. Our best bet is Iowa to win at -513.

What is the projected score for Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

We project Purdue Boilermakers 14.9 and Iowa Hawkeyes 30.5, about 45.3 points in total.

How are Iowa Hawkeyes playing?

Iowa Hawkeyes have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 560 points scored and 286 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 396 points scored and 622 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Iowa to win at -513, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iowa against Purdue. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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