Predictions › United States › Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction

Beaver Stadium

Purdue BoilermakersAway
20.8 : 33.6
projected points
Penn State Nittany LionsHome
21%Purdue
79%Penn State
Eagle safe pickPenn State to win
-373

Quick answer

Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 79% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 20.8 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.6. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -373.

Prediction
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Purdue Boilermakers 21, Penn State Nittany Lions 34
Projected total
54.4 points
Best bet
Penn State to win at -373

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Penn State to win
79% chanceFair price -3732 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Penn State Nittany Lions 79% and Purdue Boilermakers 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Penn State Nittany Lions won 1 of their last 5 and Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 5. Purdue Boilermakers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Penn State Nittany Lions won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Penn State Nittany Lions score 29.1 points a game and let in 21.6. Purdue Boilermakers score 22.3 and let in 34.8. Their recent games average 50.7 and 57.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Penn State to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions: Penn State Nittany Lions are favourites

The big picture

Penn State Nittany Lions host Purdue Boilermakers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 00:00 at Beaver Stadium. Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 79% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 20.8 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.6. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -373.

Penn State Nittany Lions form

Penn State Nittany Lions have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 524 points scored and 388 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Purdue Boilermakers form

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 379 points scored and 591 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Purdue Boilermakers to score about 20.8 points and Penn State Nittany Lions about 33.6. That points to Penn State Nittany Lions to win. Our safest bet is Penn State to win at -373.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

Penn StatePurdue
Games played1817
Wins83
Losses1014
Points scored524379
Points conceded388591
Scored per game29.122.3
Conceded per game21.634.8
Home record4W 5L2W 8L
Away record4W 5L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penn State spreadCoversFair
Penn State -19.534%+195
Penn State -15.543%+130
Penn State -12.551%-104
Penn State -9.558%-140
Penn State -5.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.557%43%
54.550%50%
57.542%58%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penn State +3.5 wins if Penn State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

Our prediction for Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 79% chance. We project Purdue Boilermakers 20.8 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.6. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -373.

What is the projected score for Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

We project Purdue Boilermakers 20.8 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.6, about 54.4 points in total.

How are Penn State Nittany Lions playing?

Penn State Nittany Lions have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 524 points scored and 388 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 379 points scored and 591 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

Penn State to win at -373, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penn State against Purdue. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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