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Predictions › United Kingdom › Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley
ChampionshipTue 3 Nov, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley prediction

MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park RangersHome
2.46 : 1.41
expected goals
BurnleyAway
60%QPR
19%Draw
20%Burnley
Eagle safe pickQueens Park Rangers or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Queens Park Rangers 2.5, Burnley 1.4
Best bet
Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Queens Park Rangers or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Queens Park Rangers to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Queens Park Rangers 60%, the draw 19% and Burnley 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Queens Park Rangers took 8 points from their last 5 games and Burnley took 5 from 5. Queens Park Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Queens Park Rangers won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Burnley won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Queens Park Rangers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Burnley score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Queens Park Rangers games and 12 of Burnley games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Queens Park Rangers or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Burnleyrecent form-1%
  • QPRrest between games-5%
  • Burnleyrest between games-5%
QPR form D L W D DBurnley form L L D W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley: Queens Park Rangers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Queens Park Rangers host Burnley in the Championship on Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Burnley form

Burnley have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Queens Park Rangers to score about 2.5 goals and Burnley about 1.4. That points to Queens Park Rangers to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Queens Park Rangers to win and both score at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

QPRBurnley
Games played2020
Wins61
Draws89
Losses610
Goals scored2723
Goals conceded2538
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.31.9
Home record4W 4D 3L0W 7D 3L
Away record2W 4D 3L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1/9
Over 2.5 goals74%1/3
Over 3.5 goals54%5/6
Both teams to score70%4/9
Queens Park Rangers or Draw80%1/4
Burnley or Draw40%6/4
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.549%21/20
Burnley to win and Over 2.516%11/2
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet24%3/1
Burnley clean sheet9%11/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.9%
1-17.7%
3-17.3%
2-06.3%
2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Jamie Vardy Scores in 20th Straight Season in Burnley Loss

Jamie Vardy marked his 20th consecutive season with a goal, but Burnley lost 2-1 against Wolves at Turf Moor on Friday.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Our prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley is Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Queens Park Rangers to score 2.5 goals and Burnley 1.4.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Queens Park Rangers last 20 games and 16 of Burnley last 20.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Burnley playing?

Burnley have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Queens Park Rangers or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in QPR against Burnley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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