Predictions › Spain › Racing Santander vs Valencia

LaLigaSun 11 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction

El Sardineros

Racing SantanderHome

1.60 : 1.30

expected goals

ValenciaAway

44%Racing

26%Draw

30%Valencia

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Valencia is Racing Santander to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction: Racing Santander to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Racing Santander 1.6, Valencia 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Racing Santander 44%, the draw 26% and Valencia 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Racing Santander the favourite at 2.20.
2
Recent form
Racing Santander took 6 points from their last 5 games and Valencia took 3 from 5. Racing Santander come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Racing Santander won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Valencia won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Racing Santander score 2.0 goals a game and let in 2.1. Valencia score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Racing Santander games and 8 of Valencia games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Racingrecent form-1%
Valenciarecent form-4%

Racing form L L W L WValencia form L W L L LHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Racing Santander vs Valencia: Racing Santander shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Racing Santander host Valencia in the LaLiga on Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 at El Sardineros. Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Valencia is Racing Santander to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Racing Santander form

Racing Santander have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 43 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Valencia form

Valencia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Racing Santander to score about 1.6 goals and Valencia about 1.3. That points to Racing Santander to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5 at 3.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Racing	Valencia
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	8
Draws	3	3
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	41	24
Goals conceded	43	29
Scored per game	2.0	1.2
Conceded per game	2.1	1.4
Home record	7W 1D 1L	4W 2D 5L
Away record	3W 2D 6L	4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	5%	25%
Both teams scored	75%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Racing Santander to win	41%	2.44	2.20	-9.7%
A Draw	25%	3.96	3.50	-11.7%
Valencia to win	30%	3.38	3.00	-11.3%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.67	-12.6%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.40	2.10	-12.5%
Racing Santander -0.5	41%	2.42	2.05	-15.2%
Valencia +0.5	53%	1.90	1.63	-14.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.80
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.02
Both teams to score	59%	1.70
Racing Santander or Draw	70%	1.44
Valencia or Draw	56%	1.78
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.50
Valencia to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.17
Racing Santander clean sheet	27%	3.68
Valencia clean sheet	20%	4.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

2-19.2%

1-08.1%

1-27.4%

2-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

LaLiga

Valencia Eye Former Mexico Coach Javier Aguirre for Manager Vacancy

Valencia are in advanced talks with Javier Aguirre to take over as manager after a poor start to the season.

19 Sept 2026

LaLiga

Barcelona Smash Records in Seven Goal Demolition

Barcelona set a club record with seven straight wins to start the season after beating Racing Santander 7-2, led by a Raphinha hat trick.

16 Sept 2026

LaLiga

Valencia Sacks Coach Carlos Corberan and CEO Ron Gourlay

Valencia has dismissed coach Carlos Corberan and CEO Ron Gourlay with the team winless and sitting bottom of LaLiga.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Valencia is Racing Santander to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Racing Santander vs Valencia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Racing Santander to score 1.6 goals and Valencia 1.3.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Racing Santander last 20 games and 9 of Valencia last 20.

How are Racing Santander playing?

How are Valencia playing?

What is the best bet for Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Racing against Valencia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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