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Predictions › Champions League › RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
Champions LeagueWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UTC

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction

Red Bull Arena

RB LeipzigHome
1.44 : 1.90
expected goals
Manchester CityAway
29%RB Leipzig
23%Draw
48%Man City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Manchester City to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
RB Leipzig 1.4, Manchester City 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives RB Leipzig 29%, the draw 23% and Manchester City 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester City the favourite at 1.54.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    RB Leipzig took 9 points from their last 5 games and Manchester City took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    RB Leipzig won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Manchester City won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    RB Leipzig score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Manchester City score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of RB Leipzig games and 14 of Manchester City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Man Cityrecent form+3%
  • RB Leipzigrest between games-5%
  • Man Cityrest between games-5%
  • Man Cityteam news-1%
RB Leipzig form D L L W WMan City form D W W L WHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: Manchester City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the Champions League on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at Red Bull Arena. Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

RB Leipzig form

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Manchester City form

Manchester City have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect RB Leipzig to score about 1.4 goals and Manchester City about 1.9. That points to Manchester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RB LeipzigMan City
Games played2020
Wins1215
Draws02
Losses83
Goals scored4349
Goals conceded3321
Scored per game2.12.5
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record10W 0D 0L9W 0D 2L
Away record2W 0D 8L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals80%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
RB Leipzig to win28%3.634.80+32.1%
A Draw23%4.414.60+4.3%
Manchester City to win46%2.201.54-29.9%
Over 3.5 goals46%2.191.87-14.7%
Under 3.5 goals49%2.061.87-9.3%
RB Leipzig +1.561%1.651.51-8.4%
Manchester City -1.535%2.822.25-20.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%2.33
Both teams to score66%1.52
RB Leipzig or Draw52%1.91
Manchester City or Draw71%1.40
RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Manchester City to win and Over 2.535%2.83
RB Leipzig clean sheet15%6.69
Manchester City clean sheet24%4.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
1-29.2%
2-17.0%
2-26.6%
0-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Maresca Demands Attack Sharpness After Man City Defeat

Enzo Maresca wants Manchester City to finish their chances after losing to Aston Villa despite controlling much of the match.

10 hours ago
Premier League

Manchester City Face Aston Villa Test as European Weekend Begins

Premier League leaders Manchester City visit Villa Park while action heats up across Europe on Saturday.

24 Oct 2026
Premier League

Enzo Maresca Working to Bring Phil Foden Back to His Peak

Enzo Maresca feels a duty to help Phil Foden return to his best form for Manchester City while refining Rayan Cherki.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect RB Leipzig to score 1.4 goals and Manchester City 1.9.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of RB Leipzig last 20 games and 11 of Manchester City last 20.

How are RB Leipzig playing?

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Manchester City playing?

Manchester City have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in RB Leipzig against Man City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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