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NBASat 10 Oct, 22:30 United States time

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center

San Antonio SpursAway
113.8 : 108.3
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
69%Spurs
31%Suns
Eagle safe pickSpurs +2.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 113.8 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Spurs +2.5 at -297.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
San Antonio Spurs 114, Phoenix Suns 108
Projected total
222.1 points
Best bet
Spurs +2.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
31% chanceFair price +2201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 31% and San Antonio Spurs 69%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and San Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 10 games at home. San Antonio Spurs won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 111.2 points a game and let in 112.3. San Antonio Spurs score 112.5 and let in 105.0. Their recent games average 223.4 and 217.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 2 and San Antonio Spurs won 2. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-3%
  • Spursrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host San Antonio Spurs in the NBA on Sat 10 Oct, 22:30 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 113.8 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Spurs +2.5 at -297.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 2, San Antonio Spurs won 2. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100.

Our call

We expect San Antonio Spurs to score about 113.8 points and Phoenix Suns about 108.3. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs +2.5 at -297. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +220.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsSpurs
Games played2020
Wins711
Losses139
Points scored22232251
Points conceded22452100
Scored per game111.2112.5
Conceded per game112.3105.0
Home record4W 6L5W 5L
Away record3W 7L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -0.531%+218
Suns +2.540%+147
Suns +5.550%+100
Suns +8.559%-146
Suns +11.568%-216
Total pointsOverUnder
216.562%38%
219.556%44%
222.549%51%
225.543%57%
228.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Antonio Spurs 113.8 and Phoenix Suns 108.3. Our best bet is Spurs +2.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?

We project San Antonio Spurs 113.8 and Phoenix Suns 108.3, about 222.1 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2245 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2251 points scored and 2100 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and San Antonio Spurs last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 101, Phoenix Suns 100. In the last 4 meetings Phoenix Suns won 2 and San Antonio Spurs won 2.

What is the best bet for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?

Spurs +2.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Spurs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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