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Predictions › United States › San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 21:30 United States time

San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos prediction

Albertsons Stadium

San Diego State AztecsAway
25.0 : 41.4
projected points
Boise State BroncosHome
15%San Diego St
85%Boise St
Eagle safe pickBoise St to win
-562

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 85% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 25.0 and Boise State Broncos 41.4. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -562.

Prediction
Boise State Broncos to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
San Diego State Aztecs 25, Boise State Broncos 41
Projected total
66.5 points
Best bet
Boise St to win at -562

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boise St to win
85% chanceFair price -5622 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boise State Broncos 85% and San Diego State Aztecs 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boise State Broncos won 5 of their last 5 and San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 5. Boise State Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boise State Broncos won 9 of their last 10 games at home. San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boise State Broncos score 33.1 points a game and let in 23.9. San Diego State Aztecs score 26.3 and let in 23.6. Their recent games average 57.0 and 50.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boise State Broncos won 0 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1. The last one ended San Diego State Aztecs 17, Boise State Broncos 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Boise St to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos: Boise State Broncos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boise State Broncos host San Diego State Aztecs in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 21:30 at Albertsons Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 85% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 25.0 and Boise State Broncos 41.4. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -562.

Boise State Broncos form

Boise State Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 662 points scored and 479 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

San Diego State Aztecs form

San Diego State Aztecs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 526 points scored and 473 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boise State Broncos won 0, San Diego State Aztecs won 1. Last time out it finished San Diego State Aztecs 17, Boise State Broncos 7.

Our call

We expect San Diego State Aztecs to score about 25.0 points and Boise State Broncos about 41.4. That points to Boise State Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Boise St to win at -562.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boise StSan Diego St
Games played2020
Wins1512
Losses58
Points scored662526
Points conceded479473
Scored per game33.126.3
Conceded per game23.923.6
Home record9W 1L9W 2L
Away record6W 4L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Boise St spreadCoversFair
Boise St -23.533%+204
Boise St -19.542%+136
Boise St -16.550%+101
Boise St -13.557%-134
Boise St -9.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
59.567%33%
63.557%43%
66.550%50%
69.542%58%
73.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Boise St +3.5 wins if Boise St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Boise State Rallies Past Texas State After Wild Second Half

Max Cutforth came off the bench to throw three late touchdowns as Boise State beat Texas State 46-45.

1 Nov 2026
College Football

Mumps Outbreak and Injuries Batter San Diego State Football

San Diego State is dealing with a major mumps outbreak and a long injury list ahead of their game against Texas State.

1 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos?

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos is Boise State Broncos to win, with a 85% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 25.0 and Boise State Broncos 41.4. Our best bet is Boise St to win at -562.

What is the projected score for San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos?

We project San Diego State Aztecs 25.0 and Boise State Broncos 41.4, about 66.5 points in total.

How are Boise State Broncos playing?

Boise State Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 662 points scored and 479 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are San Diego State Aztecs playing?

San Diego State Aztecs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 526 points scored and 473 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs last met?

It ended San Diego State Aztecs 17, Boise State Broncos 7. In the last 1 meeting Boise State Broncos won 0 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1.

What is the best bet for San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos?

Boise St to win at -562, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boise St against San Diego St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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