Predictions › United States › San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys
NFLSun 15 Nov, 16:25 United States time

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

AT&T Stadium

San Francisco 49ersAway
28.8 : 24.9
projected points
Dallas CowboysHome
64%49ers
36%Cowboys
Eagle safe pickOver 46.5 points
-268

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 64% chance. We project San Francisco 49ers 28.8 and Dallas Cowboys 24.9. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -268.

Prediction
San Francisco 49ers to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
San Francisco 49ers 29, Dallas Cowboys 25
Projected total
53.7 points
Best bet
Over 46.5 points at -268

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2681 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cowboys to win
36% chancePrice +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Cowboys 36% and San Francisco 49ers 64%. The bookmakers agree and make San Francisco 49ers the favourite at -205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Cowboys won 2 of their last 5 and San Francisco 49ers won 4 of their last 5. San Francisco 49ers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Cowboys won 3 of their last 10 games at home. San Francisco 49ers won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Cowboys score 25.9 points a game and let in 26.1. San Francisco 49ers score 27.1 and let in 21.5. Their recent games average 52.0 and 48.5 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 46.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys: San Francisco 49ers are favourites

The big picture

Dallas Cowboys host San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 16:25 at AT&T Stadium. Our prediction for San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 64% chance. We project San Francisco 49ers 28.8 and Dallas Cowboys 24.9. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -268.

Dallas Cowboys form

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 521 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

San Francisco 49ers form

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 541 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect San Francisco 49ers to score about 28.8 points and Dallas Cowboys about 24.9. That points to San Francisco 49ers to win. Our safest bet is Over 46.5 points at -268. Our bold bet is Cowboys to win at +170.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cowboys49ers
Games played2020
Wins915
Losses115
Points scored519541
Points conceded521430
Scored per game25.927.1
Conceded per game26.121.5
Home record3W 7L7W 3L
Away record6W 4L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cowboys to win36%+181+170-3.8%
49ers to win60%-152-205-10.3%
Cowboys +3.546%+119-110-12.8%
49ers -3.547%+112-110-10.0%
Over 53.5 points47%+114-110-10.6%
Under 53.5 points46%+117-110-12.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Cowboys spreadCoversFair
Cowboys -3.529%+241
Cowboys +0.540%+149
Cowboys +3.549%+104
Cowboys +6.558%-137
Cowboys +10.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
46.571%29%
50.560%40%
53.551%49%
56.541%59%
60.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cowboys +3.5 wins if Cowboys win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys?

Our prediction for San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 64% chance. We project San Francisco 49ers 28.8 and Dallas Cowboys 24.9. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -268.

What is the projected score for San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys?

We project San Francisco 49ers 28.8 and Dallas Cowboys 24.9, about 53.7 points in total.

How are Dallas Cowboys playing?

Dallas Cowboys have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 521 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San Francisco 49ers playing?

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 541 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys?

Over 46.5 points at -268, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cowboys against 49ers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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