Predictions › Portugal › Santa Clara vs Benfica

Primeira LigaMon 26 Oct, 18:45 Portugal time

Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa ClaraHome

0.99 : 1.60

expected goals

BenficaAway

23%Santa Clara

26%Draw

51%Benfica

Eagle safe pickBenfica or Draw

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction: Benfica to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Santa Clara 1.0, Benfica 1.6
Best bet: Benfica or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Benfica or Draw

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Benfica to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Santa Clara 23%, the draw 26% and Benfica 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Santa Clara took 11 points from their last 5 games and Benfica took 12 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Santa Clara won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Benfica won 7 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Santa Clara score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Benfica score 2.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Santa Clara games and 16 of Benfica games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Santa Clara won 0 and Benfica won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Santa Clara 1, Benfica 2.
6
The safest bet
Benfica or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Santa Clararecent form+3%
Benficarecent form+3%
Benficarest between games-5%

Santa Clara form D D W W DBenfica form D W L W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Santa Clara vs Benfica: Benfica are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Santa Clara host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Mon 26 Oct, 18:45 at Estádio de São Miguel. Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.30.

Santa Clara form

Santa Clara have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Benfica form

Benfica have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Santa Clara won 0, Benfica won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Santa Clara 1, Benfica 2.

Our call

We expect Santa Clara to score about 1.0 goals and Benfica about 1.6. That points to Benfica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Benfica to win and Over 2.5 at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Santa Clara	Benfica
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	14
Draws	7	5
Losses	3	1
Goals scored	27	53
Goals conceded	17	19
Scored per game	1.4	2.6
Conceded per game	0.8	0.9
Home record	6W 2D 1L	7W 3D 0L
Away record	4W 5D 2L	7W 2D 1L
Clean sheets	50%	35%
Both teams scored	40%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.36
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.83
Both teams to score	51%	1.97
Santa Clara or Draw	49%	2.04
Benfica or Draw	77%	1.29
Santa Clara to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.15
Benfica to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.34
Santa Clara clean sheet	20%	4.94
Benfica clean sheet	37%	2.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

0-111.3%

0-29.6%

1-29.5%

0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Chelsea and Man United Track Benfica Star Tomás Araújo

Chelsea and Manchester United are tracking Benfica's Tomás Araújo, while free agent Jadon Sancho is prepared to wait until January to find a new club.

2 Oct 2026

Europa League

Ruben Amorim Promises Tactical Changes After AC Milan Defeat

AC Milan boss Ruben Amorim says he is ready to adapt his tactics after a 2-0 home loss to Benfica extended his side's winless run to three games.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Benfica or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Santa Clara to score 1.0 goals and Benfica 1.6.

Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Santa Clara last 20 games and 13 of Benfica last 20.

How are Santa Clara playing?

How are Benfica playing?

What happened when Santa Clara and Benfica last met?

It ended Santa Clara 1, Benfica 2. In the last 2 meetings Santa Clara won 0 and Benfica won 1.

What is the best bet for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Benfica or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Santa Clara against Benfica. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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