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Predictions › United States › Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals
NHLSun 11 Oct, 17:00 United States time

Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Seattle KrakenAway
2.3 : 3.6
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
25%Kraken
75%Capitals
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-405

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 75% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.3 and Washington Capitals 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -405.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Seattle Kraken 2, Washington Capitals 4
Projected total
5.9 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -405

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
80% chanceFair price -4052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kraken to win
26% chanceFair price +2871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 75% and Seattle Kraken 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5 and Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Seattle Kraken won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.6. Seattle Kraken score 2.5 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Washington Capitals won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 1. The last one ended Seattle Kraken 5, Washington Capitals 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Seattle Kraken in the NHL on Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 75% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.3 and Washington Capitals 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -405.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 1, Seattle Kraken won 1. Last time out it finished Seattle Kraken 5, Washington Capitals 1.

Our call

We expect Seattle Kraken to score about 2.3 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.6. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -405. Our bold bet is Kraken to win at +287.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsKraken
Games played2020
Wins146
Losses614
Goals scored7050
Goals conceded5375
Scored per game3.52.5
Conceded per game2.63.8
Home record7W 2L4W 4L
Away record7W 4L2W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -2.531%+224
Capitals -1.547%+114
Capitals -0.563%-170
Total goalsOverUnder
4.572%28%
5.556%44%
6.539%61%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Capitals Sign Justin Sourdif to Eight Year Contract Extension

The Washington Capitals have signed forward Justin Sourdif to an eight year contract extension worth 6.35 million dollars annually.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 75% chance. We project Seattle Kraken 2.3 and Washington Capitals 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -405.

What is the projected score for Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals?

We project Seattle Kraken 2.3 and Washington Capitals 3.6, about 5.9 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Seattle Kraken last met?

It ended Seattle Kraken 5, Washington Capitals 1. In the last 2 meetings Washington Capitals won 1 and Seattle Kraken won 1.

What is the best bet for Seattle Kraken vs Washington Capitals?

Over 4 goals at -405, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Kraken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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