Predictions › United States › Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos
NFLThu 15 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos prediction

Empower Field at Mile High

Seattle SeahawksAway
22.2 : 20.4
projected points
Denver BroncosHome
58%Seahawks
42%Broncos
Eagle safe pickUnder 50.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Seahawks 22.2 and Denver Broncos 20.4. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Seattle Seahawks to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Seattle Seahawks 22, Denver Broncos 20
Projected total
42.6 points
Best bet
Under 50.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 50.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Broncos 42% and Seattle Seahawks 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Seahawks the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Broncos won 3 of their last 5 and Seattle Seahawks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Broncos won 10 of their last 13 games at home. Seattle Seahawks won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Broncos score 22.9 points a game and let in 19.8. Seattle Seahawks score 26.4 and let in 16.0. Their recent games average 42.8 and 42.4 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 50.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Broncosrest between games-5%
  • Seahawksrest between games-5%
  • Seahawksteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos: Seattle Seahawks shade it

The big picture

Denver Broncos host Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Thu 15 Oct, 20:15 at Empower Field at Mile High. Our prediction for Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Seahawks 22.2 and Denver Broncos 20.4. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -299.

Denver Broncos form

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 459 points scored and 396 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 3 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Seattle Seahawks form

Seattle Seahawks have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 528 points scored and 320 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Seattle Seahawks to score about 22.2 points and Denver Broncos about 20.4. That points to Seattle Seahawks to win. Our safest bet is Under 50.5 points at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BroncosSeahawks
Games played2020
Wins1515
Losses54
Points scored459528
Points conceded396320
Scored per game22.926.4
Conceded per game19.816.0
Home record10W 3L8W 1L
Away record5W 2L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Broncos to win42%+136+110-10.9%
Seahawks to win51%-104-130-9.8%
Broncos +1.546%+118-105-10.4%
Seahawks -1.548%+110-115-11.1%
Over 43.5 points44%+126-110-15.7%
Under 43.5 points49%+103-110-6.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Broncos spreadCoversFair
Broncos -5.529%+240
Broncos -1.540%+148
Broncos +1.549%+104
Broncos +4.558%-138
Broncos +8.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
35.571%29%
39.559%41%
42.550%50%
45.541%59%
49.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Broncos +3.5 wins if Broncos win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos?

Our prediction for Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Seattle Seahawks 22.2 and Denver Broncos 20.4. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos?

We project Seattle Seahawks 22.2 and Denver Broncos 20.4, about 42.6 points in total.

How are Denver Broncos playing?

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 459 points scored and 396 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 3 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Seattle Seahawks playing?

Seattle Seahawks have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 528 points scored and 320 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos?

Under 50.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Broncos against Seahawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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